TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22c6…50c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.51
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+252.9%+$303.42
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Jackson State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+538.5%+$323.1
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Radford Highlanders vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$61.92
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+247%+$97.52
UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydetsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lafayette Leopards vs. Boston Terriersbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.68
Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+451.7%+$283.19
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.22
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$147
SIUE Cougars vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+137.7%+$68.87
Charleston Cougars vs. Towson Tigersbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Hofstra Pride vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Elon Phoenix vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+109%+$109
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+249.1%+$49.83
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+482.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+223.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,195.5%+$131.5
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.