NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c301b38cea3d769ff7a7144c9951c88f96d9b54ff645edc3333e43ad53c9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Stars, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Stars | 47c | 165,590$77,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,620.69 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Utah | 53c | 86,453$45,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,530.78 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Utah | 52c | 62,637$32,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,197.11 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 75c | 38,933$29,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,851.45 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Stars | 24c | 33,108$8,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,065.59 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Utah | 53c | 29,255$15,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,729.73 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Stars | 47c | 22,876$10,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,696.39 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 48c | 21,689$10,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,454.51 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Utah | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Utah | 53c | 18,888$10,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,877.36 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Utah | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Utah | 51c | 11,725$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,745.23 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 51c | 7,442$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Utah | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…0a68backed Stars | 25c | 5,661$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 49c | 5,349$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.97 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 47c | 5,326$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.93 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Stars | 47c | 5,078$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.47 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Utah | 52c | 5,000$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.58 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Utah | 51c | 4,817$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.19 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 52c | 4,813$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Stars | 47c | 4,710$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Stars | 48c | 4,274$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.44 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Utah | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 21c | 4,045$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Stars | 47c | 3,670$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Utah | 54c | 3,640$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.4 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Stars | 23c | 3,622$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.13 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Stars | 21c | 3,275$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.62 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 47c | 3,111$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 36c | 2,887$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 38c | 2,809$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…3bbdbacked Stars | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Utah | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Stars | 4c | 2,476$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…e886backed Utah | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Utah | 50c | 2,210$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Stars | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 49c | 2,022$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.79 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…6db6backed Stars | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 36c | 1,998$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.5 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 6c | 1,976$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Utah | 76c | 1,878$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.14 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Utah | 54c | 1,844$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.68 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Utah | 71c | 1,764$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.22 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 54c | 1,751$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.44 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stars | 47c | 1,677$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Utah | 54c | 1,563$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.96 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Utah | 73c | 1,439$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.2 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 18c | 1,357$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Stars | 15c | 1,340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stars | 25c | 1,242$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.1 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Stars | 49c | 1,220$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.03 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.86 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Stars | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Utah | 55c | 1,138$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.18 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Stars | 48c | 1,100$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Stars | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.96 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 52c | 1,055$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.4 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Stars | 48c | 1,010$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.47 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 54c | 1,003$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.38 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Utah | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Stars | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stars | 45c | 938.01$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 9c | 888.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Stars | 18c | 872.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Stars | 2c | 846.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stars | 49c | 821.87$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.4 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Stars | 49c | 816$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Utah | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a1a0backed Stars | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Stars | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Utah | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars | 47c | 769.44$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stars | 47c | 758$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.26 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Stars | 24c | 689$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Stars | 48c | 663.66$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 48c | 654.14$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.83 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 65c | 641.24$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Stars | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 46c | 624.1$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.84 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stars | 54c | 622$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.64 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Utah | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…652dbacked Stars | 50c | 610$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Stars | 49c | 601.63$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Stars | 48c | 600$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Utah | 53c | 590.15$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Utah | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 53c | 575.01$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Utah | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Utah | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Utahthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.