TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNCG Spartansof UNCG Spartans, VMI Keydets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19a0…ac39backed UNCG Spartans77c4,367$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.4118654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed VMI Keydets48c4,178$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed UNCG Spartans60c3,346$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed UNCG Spartans58c2,696$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.466550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UNCG Spartans57c2,673$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.712,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed VMI Keydets43c1,960$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.9439744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8715…37f0backed VMI Keydets45c1,887$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed VMI Keydets44c1,613$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.6499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked VMI Keydets20c1,457$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.11,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc6…7007backed VMI Keydets45c1,280$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked VMI Keydets41c1,099$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.425,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked VMI Keydets45c1,062$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked VMI Keydets12c1,000$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.25545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNCG Spartans55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…d999backed UNCG Spartans55c953$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72cf…bdf2backed UNCG Spartans55c934$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked VMI Keydets7c929.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5414021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…45aebacked UNCG Spartans55c879$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bb…2851backed VMI Keydets45c868$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a22…7f1cbacked VMI Keydets44c859$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67a…f5debacked VMI Keydets45c855$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UNCG Spartans53c830.67$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.521,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x029c…0784backed VMI Keydets45c828$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNCG Spartans52c730.6$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.692,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57e…23a5backed VMI Keydets44c686$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.84560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdacf…d252backed UNCG Spartans55c626$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked VMI Keydets42c539.52$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0313842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1f…83d6backed UNCG Spartans55c468$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc8…d816backed UNCG Spartans56c448$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc2…f578backed UNCG Spartans55c432$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…c501backed UNCG Spartans55c423$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x453a…aa7cbacked UNCG Spartans56c411$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x527c…65eebacked UNCG Spartans56c407$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff3…009cbacked UNCG Spartans55c401$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…c80fbacked UNCG Spartans55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed UNCG Spartans56c355.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3613444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad7f…f819backed UNCG Spartans56c279$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked VMI Keydets4c275$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.571,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed VMI Keydets44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked VMI Keydets42c249.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9920254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed VMI Keydets25c238.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.721,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UNCG Spartans56c229$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.761,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNCG Spartans70c206.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.971,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6501…5983backed UNCG Spartans55c202$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed VMI Keydets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed VMI Keydets29c177.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked UNCG Spartans58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed VMI Keydets15c140.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.133,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed VMI Keydets19c78.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.937812.8%10 W · 68 L-17.2wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked VMI Keydets28c76.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed VMI Keydets39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2512617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked VMI Keydets40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UNCG Spartans56c70.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.154,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked UNCG Spartans54c69.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.843951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed VMI Keydets44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9225436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed UNCG Spartans70c63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed VMI Keydets38c52.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked VMI Keydets29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed VMI Keydets40c51.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked UNCG Spartans64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2132343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked VMI Keydets44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed VMI Keydets44c49.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked VMI Keydets38c49.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.754,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed VMI Keydets45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed VMI Keydets39c46.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked VMI Keydets30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed VMI Keydets40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed UNCG Spartans57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed UNCG Spartans55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.59037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked UNCG Spartans55c29.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc16…8505backed VMI Keydets43c27.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6d…e4f4backed UNCG Spartans57c27.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ba…4d28backed UNCG Spartans56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.795160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36f…cd17backed UNCG Spartans56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed VMI Keydets42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9917…569cbacked UNCG Spartans59c20.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xebfe…bdd0backed UNCG Spartans56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed UNCG Spartans55c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked UNCG Spartans72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.28459.5%50 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.