TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc36f…cd17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST12168.6%83 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+65.4%+$19.62
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Longwood Lancersbacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.15
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.88
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bisonbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.59
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.34
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.04
Murray State Racers vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Detroit Titansbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.88
Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.82
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydetsbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Lafayette Leopards vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.36
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.64
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.