NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60d9d96238dc74b2829f420a2f52ccd337f5dffd04e5967f9a1c2130ddddb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Hornets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,403,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,416,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,403,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 659 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 29c | 193,524$55,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,821.95 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Warriors | 71c | 130,753$92,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,289.7 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 71c | 112,241$80,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,143.27 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 71c | 105,233$75,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,087.68 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Hornets | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Hornets | 29c | 59,395$16,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,930.49 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 72c | 43,560$31,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,196.66 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Hornets | 28c | 35,555$9,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.4 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 29c | 27,304$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,997.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 71c | 23,340$16,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.5 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 79c | 22,847$17,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.28 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 28c | 22,046$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 69c | 20,000$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.94 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Warriors | 72c | 18,748$13,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 29c | 16,859$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.23 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Hornets | 31c | 14,385$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.51 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets | 0c | 14,080$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Hornets | 28c | 14,000$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 9c | 12,839$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.47 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Hornets | 27c | 12,545$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.87 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 70c | 12,500$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Hornets | 26c | 11,474$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Warriors | 77c | 11,085$8,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets | 32c | 10,938$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hornets | 28c | 10,500$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 28c | 10,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…2dffbacked Hornets | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 29c | 9,998$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.94 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Warriors | 70c | 9,940$6,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…a78dbacked Hornets | 30c | 9,911$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Hornets | 1c | 9,328$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hornets | 31c | 9,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 29c | 8,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 76c | 8,106$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 70c | 7,686$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.94 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hornets | 16c | 7,301$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.08 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 80c | 7,220$5,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Warriors | 71c | 6,921$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.58 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets | 18c | 6,767$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.32 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 30c | 6,677$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 0c | 6,157$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Hornets | 28c | 6,072$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.12 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Hornets | 0c | 5,535$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Hornets | 21c | 5,400$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.99 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Warriors | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets | 30c | 4,750$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.64 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 70c | 4,725$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Hornets | 30c | 4,624$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Warriors | 68c | 4,619$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.06 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 69c | 4,619$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.87 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 72c | 4,559$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Hornets | 30c | 4,552$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.44 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hornets | 4c | 4,510$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets | 29c | 4,500$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Warriors | 72c | 4,461$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.98 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hornets | 30c | 4,361$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.8 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Hornets | 28c | 4,258$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.83 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Warriors | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Hornets | 30c | 3,784$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.16 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Warriors | 70c | 3,700$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 69c | 3,617$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.33 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Warriors | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Hornets | 26c | 3,245$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.4 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Hornets | 24c | 3,086$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.67 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Hornets | 28c | 3,000$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Hornets | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Warriors | 68c | 2,982$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.31 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 28c | 2,954$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Hornets | 30c | 2,886$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.1 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Warriors | 70c | 2,800$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Hornets | 26c | 2,700$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.99 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Warriors | 68c | 2,603$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.97 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 71c | 2,500$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.35 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hornets | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hornets | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hornets | 28c | 2,407$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 2,353$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Warriors | 70c | 2,328$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Hornets | 21c | 2,318$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.49 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 76c | 2,207$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.71 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Hornets | 27c | 2,193$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…09dcbacked Hornets | 26c | 2,190$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hornets | 3c | 2,180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…d900backed Hornets | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Hornets | 1c | 2,122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Warriors | 69c | 2,114$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.27 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 18c | 2,092$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.96 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Warriors | 79c | 2,025$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.63 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Hornets | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hornets | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…1e84backed Warriors | 70c | 1,935$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.3 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 77c | 1,917$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…44fcbacked Hornets | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Hornets | 30c | 1,758$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.85 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Warriors | 72c | 1,735$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.