NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a3fbde30a959647a8d4e35f9ab3e33e65fc6fa06fe564e9096a8cd62bb4fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 51c | 95,063$48,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,780.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 51c | 22,000$11,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,218.88 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 49c | 21,629$10,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,949.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Hornets | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Hornets | 49c | 15,740$7,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,712.39 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 14,676$7,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Hornets | 49c | 12,484$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,117 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Hornets | 49c | 12,055$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.93 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets | 49c | 10,816$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hornets | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 50c | 9,590$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 51c | 8,970$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.3 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Hornets | 49c | 7,878$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a962backed Warriors | 48c | 6,002$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…62fdbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,366$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…3e2bbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,747$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Hornets | 50c | 4,626$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.57 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Hornets | 53c | 4,256$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…b955backed Warriors | 48c | 4,011$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Hornets | 49c | 3,776$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…b416backed Hornets | 52c | 3,038$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Hornets | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 50c | 2,651$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,143$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…16cdbacked Hornets | 52c | 2,134$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hornets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…4d36backed Hornets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…b4cfbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,935$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…7dd5backed Hornets | 52c | 1,796$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Hornets | 57c | 1,750$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…4558backed Hornets | 52c | 1,742$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Hornets | 49c | 1,692$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…2ef7backed Hornets | 52c | 1,689$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…7e84backed Hornets | 52c | 1,605$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Hornets | 49c | 1,539$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…b7aabacked Hornets | 52c | 1,211$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,163$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.39 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838c…06babacked Hornets | 52c | 1,021$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Hornets | 29c | 897$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.51 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Hornets | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…15dabacked Hornets | 52c | 688$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Hornets | 49c | 670.76$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Warriors | 52c | 660.96$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.26 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Hornets | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…f7cbbacked Hornets | 52c | 601$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Hornets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 52c | 495.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Hornets | 48c | 481.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets | 49c | 427.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Hornets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 43c | 363.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Hornets | 50c | 340.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 53c | 332.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Hornets | 50c | 298.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 294.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Warriors | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Hornets | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Hornets | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Hornets | 49c | 202.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets | 50c | 198.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…a25abacked Hornets | 54c | 147.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Hornets | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Hornets | 50c | 139.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…91d3backed Hornets | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Hornets | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Hornets | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hornets | 51c | 111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Warriors | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Hornets | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Hornets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Hornets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Hornets | 21c | 88.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Hornets | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hornets | 36c | 65.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Hornets | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Warriors | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Warriors | 51c | 53.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Hornets | 53c | 51.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 442 | 43.7%193 W · 249 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Hornets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Warriors | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Hornets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Hornets | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…494bbacked Hornets | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Warriors | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Hornets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…c864backed Hornets | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Hornets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.