TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9333…3fa5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,711.14
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,472.95
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$693.97
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,997.36
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+74.8%+$1,392.85
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+208.7%+$10,433.91
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+68.4%+$1,367.27
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+158.8%+$1,596.15
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$998.41
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$538.46
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+115.6%+$2,584.67
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,708.1
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,766Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+76.1%+$2,104.91
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-5.3wins-0.38per pick59cpaid-62.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs MIBR (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$468.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$337.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,048.01
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$658
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$3,648.44
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,340.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+82.7%+$578.65
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+105.4%+$1,391.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$636.36
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$662
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+74.9%+$3,747.37
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+55.1%+$1,376.96
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,863Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33%+$1,275.56
Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tommy Paulbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+41.7%+$2,022.56
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+32.1%+$96.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.4%+$320.37
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$317.77
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.03
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$999.97
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,654Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.6%+$1,766.91
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+50.2%+$501.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.