Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8af9630fa30d6a6bc636a37397c43f8dc088c3e9cbbf4ec1b94865e801cd052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aa0…ca20backed MOUZ | 54c | 8,747$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 7,010$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,007$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.74 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 51c | 5,587$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.05 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed MOUZ | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,218$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.73 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 0c | 3,684$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,903$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.3 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked MOUZ | 62c | 2,108$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,791$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.09 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,758$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.29 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e8…2cf2backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,430$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,132$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.97 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,039$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.52 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.26 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,000$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.38 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 999.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed MOUZ | 65c | 928.6$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 49c | 842.56$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.14 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 842.41$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.28 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 800$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.74 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MOUZ | 55c | 749$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.65 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 746.86$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.18 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked MOUZ | 58c | 721.12$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.14 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 60c | 563.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 515.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…c6e2backed MOUZ | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 423$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 419.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed MOUZ | 35c | 375.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ | 59c | 346.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed MOUZ | 59c | 342.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 58c | 340.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 287.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 256.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked MOUZ | 16c | 254.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 57c | 241.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked MOUZ | 53c | 213.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 52c | 194.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 188.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ | 47c | 184.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 59c | 180.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed MOUZ | 27c | 173.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed MOUZ | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 163.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 154.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0e…101cbacked MOUZ | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 147.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 142.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked MOUZ | 36c | 139.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…b5dfbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 116.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked MOUZ | 58c | 116$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed MOUZ | 51c | 114.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 110.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…9194backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 109.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed MOUZ | 46c | 107.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed MOUZ | 48c | 103.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 102.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 100.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…1601backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed MOUZ | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed MOUZ | 61c | 99.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed MOUZ | 53c | 89.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…aa38backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 89.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked MOUZ | 27c | 84.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 83.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…3542backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 78.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 48c | 69.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 68.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed MOUZ | 52c | 67.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed MOUZ | 39c | 67.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac2…b76ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 56.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed MOUZ | 65c | 54.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed MOUZ | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked MOUZ | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed MOUZ | 52c | 46.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ | 58c | 45.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed MOUZ | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 44.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 43.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…e1a3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…dd62backed MOUZ | 51c | 41.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Series: MOUZ Kill Handicap (-8.5)Natus Vincere won
- Series: MOUZ Kill Handicap (-9.5)Natus Vincere won
- Series: Most kills?Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.