TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c97…e1a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$15.17
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.89
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$25.64
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.17
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$337.28
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$169.54
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$161.39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$93.66
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30.6
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$26.45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+64%+$15.93
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+34.9%+$39.71
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.58
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.7
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$66.93
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.9
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$95.43
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.05
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$172.64
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.74
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.7%+$315
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.