TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,967,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,425,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,967,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f0…cd31backed Yes76c423,545$319,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,592.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No25c201,534$49,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,691.724052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes71c171,808$121,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,824.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes73c153,239$111,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,292.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c121,092$33,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,906.511,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No33c92,798$30,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,415.2271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No29c52,040$15,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,051.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c47,289$12,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,546.022920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No28c46,260$13,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,137.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No24c45,589$10,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,997.3313348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No28c45,363$12,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,508.782045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes74c42,310$31,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,015.144746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No25c36,000$9,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,119.982128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c34,179$8,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,548.0762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No28c26,607$7,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,534.514551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No23c22,784$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.1352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,800650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No23c20,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.952040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No28c19,600$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5482236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes74c18,880$13,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.9424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No23c18,090$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes77c16,677$12,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No25c16,043$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.9835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes77c14,133$10,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.481650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes68c13,409$9,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.62650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No25c12,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.963240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No29c11,083$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.07742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No23c10,869$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.8721143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No28c10,855$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.351838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes68c10,635$7,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No27c10,412$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.242536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes75c10,175$7,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.6437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes73c10,123$7,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.1214337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes63c10,094$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.7633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed Yes75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c8,060$6,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.281,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No25c8,058$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No25c7,381$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.443756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes59c6,747$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.775538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Yes74c6,626$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cef…fe2dbacked No26c6,197$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2201136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No25c6,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.97933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No25c5,845$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.781136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed No39c5,700$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No37c5,622$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.192317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No29c5,230$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Yes75c5,162$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4503910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No23c4,891$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.8915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No9c4,841$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No7c4,374$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2924642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e36…c05cbacked Yes76c3,936$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…8416backed No27c3,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Yes55c3,386$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Yes70c3,337$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.692356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No24c3,185$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.381136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No23c2,989$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.543542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes39c2,839$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.51776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes74c2,568$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.57966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6759355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes72c2,427$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.132227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes71c2,109$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes72c2,100$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes62c2,020$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No27c1,924$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.963745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes70c1,866$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.08580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No23c1,701$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes74c1,622$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.722676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes62c1,619$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…3296backed Yes70c1,595$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No23c1,548$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.052347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes78c1,510$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.311533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes49c1,500$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7701241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No27c1,498$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.048942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Yes76c1,400$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8914340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.355151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333855.3%21 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes70c1,332$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.431050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2994266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No19c1,287$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.945129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No29c1,280$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.0435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes67c1,200$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Yes42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes70c1,189$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.