Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40f0a0809ba831d6185f7f2a534c3ed1023938f584e5c82a2977c64370b61023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 32c | 34,415$11,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,063.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed MOUZ | 75c | 11,501$8,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.16 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 10,260$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.94 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team Liquid | 10c | 6,768$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.56 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 4,000$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 3,689$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 3,454$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.03 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 51c | 3,001$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.25 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed MOUZ | 40c | 2,686$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 48c | 2,563$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.89 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,465$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.46 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 2,279$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.03 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Team Liquid | 9c | 2,277$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,250$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.49 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,124$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,049$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.58 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,994$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.23 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…7011backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,876$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.79 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,783$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.9 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,662$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.04 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,653$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 1,595$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 16c | 1,580$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,550$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.89 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 1,436$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.9 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,263$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.13 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,252$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,231$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.97 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,196$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.06 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,151$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.56 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…5ca7backed Team Liquid | 11c | 1,138$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,026$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.96 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,017$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.76 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed Team Liquid | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 51c | 977.17$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.98 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked MOUZ | 50c | 975.5$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ | 41c | 904.39$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.62 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 863.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 859.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked MOUZ | 56c | 836.85$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed MOUZ | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ | 51c | 798.37$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.22 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed MOUZ | 64c | 754.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed MOUZ | 54c | 747.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 54c | 731.17$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.17 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 51c | 712.97$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.96 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 52c | 708.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.91 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked MOUZ | 47c | 699.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 46c | 699.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed MOUZ | 50c | 669.75$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.17 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed MOUZ | 56c | 630.65$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 630.14$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.08 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed MOUZ | 78c | 611.49$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed MOUZ | 24c | 599.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.2 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 573.66$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.08 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…b0e8backed Team Liquid | 44c | 570.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked MOUZ | 54c | 569.21$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 76c | 550$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…9b11backed Team Liquid | 15c | 524.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Team Liquid | 45c | 507.49$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Team Liquid | 49c | 506.92$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed MOUZ | 48c | 502.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.47 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 34c | 500.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed MOUZ | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed MOUZ | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 499.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ | 43c | 477.48$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked MOUZ | 51c | 474.51$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…215ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 465.43$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…2855backed MOUZ | 61c | 463.46$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed MOUZ | 57c | 438.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed MOUZ | 50c | 431.68$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked MOUZ | 73c | 417.72$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 404.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed MOUZ | 62c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MOUZ | 74c | 388.75$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed MOUZ | 52c | 382.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…83d6backed Team Liquid | 52c | 381.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed MOUZ | 38c | 370$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed MOUZ | 53c | 355.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed MOUZ | 55c | 340$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed MOUZ | 29c | 332.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed MOUZ | 75c | 329.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked MOUZ | 55c | 327.74$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ | 55c | 327.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed MOUZ | 49c | 325$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 60c | 312.71$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed MOUZ | 58c | 309.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Team Liquid | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ | 50c | 294$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 290.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.