TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf41f…c71e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$40
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$40.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$234
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.1%+$80.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$210
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$21.65
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Groupbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$118
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37.3%+$151.97
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37.9%+$145.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$27
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37.2%+$64.65
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs Anubis Gaming (BO3)backed GnG Amazigh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$142.29
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+34.4%+$74.4
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$35.7
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ALGO Esports (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+41%+$147.6
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)backed 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$197.14
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.51
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$120
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37.3%+$113.43
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.24
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$193.65
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$102.94
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+56.2%+$72
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+55.4%+$139.8
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+89.2%+$104.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+130.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.9
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$34.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+92.4%+$18.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.