CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HyperSpirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb937d9f34b6317906c62895437b60aadf327c6304fd59ae3d4ea42dfd93cf054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof Phantom, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HyperSpirit | 57c | 7,945$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.22 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Phantom | 49c | 4,863$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.05 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Phantom | 29c | 2,675$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.92 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Phantom | 39c | 2,138$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.1 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed HyperSpirit | 66c | 1,033$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed HyperSpirit | 75c | 770.38$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 34c | 750.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 350$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Phantom | 76c | 330.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Phantom | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Phantom | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Phantom | 41c | 169.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 64c | 161.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…b5e4backed HyperSpirit | 73c | 131.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Phantom | 72c | 123.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed Phantom | 53c | 114.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7f8bbacked HyperSpirit | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Phantom | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Phantom | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked HyperSpirit | 60c | 83.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Phantom | 54c | 67.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 62.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Phantom | 69c | 53.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…6a86backed HyperSpirit | 68c | 40.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed HyperSpirit | 78c | 39.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Phantom | 42c | 34.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed HyperSpirit | 76c | 32.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Phantom | 48c | 30.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…ffa1backed HyperSpirit | 59c | 20.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Phantom | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…a74ebacked HyperSpirit | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Phantom | 74c | 19.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…160dbacked HyperSpirit | 73c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…43afbacked HyperSpirit | 77c | 13.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HyperSpirit (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.