TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$441,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$508,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe8…3549backed paiN46c42,494$19,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,946.9913954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed paiN47c24,090$11,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,783.372147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed paiN50c21,799$10,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,920.7157647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c7…ec41backed BetBoom Team0c15,622$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked paiN77c13,016$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.2922354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed BetBoom Team53c11,175$5,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,953.6725842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked paiN74c10,966$8,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.663,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked BetBoom Team54c10,682$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,768.4220539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BetBoom Team53c10,589$5,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,611.9781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed paiN46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed BetBoom Team39c8,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.9919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked BetBoom Team55c6,963$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.93351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked BetBoom Team3c6,608$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1336245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN47c6,519$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,481.8667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed BetBoom Team1c6,074$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked BetBoom Team53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team41c5,944$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.891,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked paiN64c5,576$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.279553.7%51 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed BetBoom Team54c5,550$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99710549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BetBoom Team24c5,397$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.4832930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed BetBoom Team54c5,393$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.189850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked BetBoom Team54c4,975$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.537736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b6…c9c6backed BetBoom Team54c4,940$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed BetBoom Team54c4,859$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.111533%38 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed paiN71c4,745$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.145848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f67…fe3cbacked BetBoom Team55c4,726$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.1340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed BetBoom Team53c4,673$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.6835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked paiN46c4,400$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37728644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed paiN59c4,216$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.8734156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked paiN47c4,160$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.222832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed BetBoom Team54c3,887$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1052755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN69c3,803$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.783,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed BetBoom Team39c3,453$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.171,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed paiN75c3,434$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.8328453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked paiN45c3,199$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.2917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team45c3,177$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.942,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked paiN50c3,100$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.6734147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed BetBoom Team29c3,095$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.2817131%53 W · 118 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN70c3,050$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed BetBoom Team53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked BetBoom Team44c2,923$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.4127530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team53c2,798$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.91,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed paiN45c2,781$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.74734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked paiN52c2,714$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.7181751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked BetBoom Team56c2,694$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked BetBoom Team29c2,683$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed BetBoom Team55c2,656$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.2325446.1%117 W · 137 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed paiN53c2,455$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.075957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team47c2,453$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.54,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked paiN57c2,422$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.5632348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BetBoom Team32c2,367$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.141,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BetBoom Team54c2,326$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.0196740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed BetBoom Team1c2,283$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e80cbacked BetBoom Team17c2,271$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.471637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked BetBoom Team54c2,259$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf73d…80e7backed paiN58c2,254$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.62862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked BetBoom Team54c2,200$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18810138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked BetBoom Team54c2,200$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed BetBoom Team34c2,141$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.411656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked BetBoom Team54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked BetBoom Team54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BetBoom Team54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN47c1,985$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.011,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757b…7f5abacked paiN54c1,714$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.721947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed BetBoom Team60c1,675$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BetBoom Team34c1,544$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.582,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed BetBoom Team53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked paiN47c1,478$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.1942050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team48c1,474$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.321,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed BetBoom Team56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78426549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BetBoom Team15c1,320$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed BetBoom Team27c1,294$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.126038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed BetBoom Team47c1,252$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.42646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BetBoom Team54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed paiN46c1,250$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6754555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed BetBoom Team60c1,222$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2912150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed paiN47c1,201$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.1596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed paiN55c1,134$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.7234848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed BetBoom Team53c1,119$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked BetBoom Team20c1,112$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.177254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked BetBoom Team46c1,100$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.21,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed paiN46c1,072$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed BetBoom Team53c840.33$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.652133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed paiN50c831.06$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.336827.9%19 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BetBoom Team51c808.25$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.225,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a6…475bbacked BetBoom Team57c801.04$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed BetBoom Team53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42414454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed paiN63c796.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9133553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed BetBoom Team40c795.24$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed paiN43c751.96$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0850833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked paiN47c706.26$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3235341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked BetBoom Team54c690.36$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.521172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked BetBoom Team13c679.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.452834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed paiN47c674.37$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfe…70d3backed BetBoom Team52c674.18$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BetBoom Team54c656.75$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9844743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed paiN46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1717347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b6…accbbacked BetBoom Team58c646.13$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed BetBoom Team54c644.61$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0910942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.