CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f5540844a2e9973b934938cd5fe1632be0f2568c3b63b5729a33a54075c2998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 52c | 3,789$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 48c | 3,300$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 52c | 1,885$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,640$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.53 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 67c | 807.25$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 54c | 647.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.09 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 65c | 640$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Under | 53c | 475.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 48c | 407.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.85 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 21c | 334.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 48c | 312.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Over | 53c | 284.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 68c | 278.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…f85ebacked Over | 52c | 257.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 51c | 255.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 29c | 221.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…2422backed Under | 50c | 197.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…bb88backed Over | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Over | 53c | 104.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…e3a0backed Over | 22c | 102.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 52c | 67.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 47c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 21c | 48.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 52c | 47.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…6ef0backed Over | 52c | 43.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 66c | 40.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…3cd4backed Over | 40c | 37.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0027…a11fbacked Over | 49c | 36.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Over | 52c | 31.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 52c | 31.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 47c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Over | 52c | 31.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1954…eea0backed Over | 52c | 29.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…eacbbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 26.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 51c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 52c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…e6f0backed Under | 53c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)paiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.