TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe660…2ac1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
388
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$62.92
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$286.12
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$53.08
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$131.79
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.1
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$90.74
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.43
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.05
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.91
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$305.11
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$299.45
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.35
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$312.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$81.31
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT14654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.32
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$105.88
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$401.8
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.51
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.95
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.69
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.97
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$98.14
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.61
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.95
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$484.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$94.28
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.23
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.81
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.31
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.66
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$163.86
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.86
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$87.83
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$42.97
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$147.13
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.81
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.75
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$31.49
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45%+$44.15
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.19
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$26.46
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$82.3
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.38
Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.2
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$280.23
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.95
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$191.84
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$113.27
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$49.51
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.55
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.73
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$142.15
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+111%+$320.3
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.84
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$52.94
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.58
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.92
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$509.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+200.1%+$90.35
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+43%+$38.01
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$453.68
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.06
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$68.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.32
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+64%+$92.68
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$77.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,935.88
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$252.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.