CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1596bcaa186fac0eeee7992e63ed155072cf69ee66b1b50bf0e466a6889f138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Spirit | 32c | 23,250$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a452backed Spirit | 32c | 15,049$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked MOUZ | 68c | 15,000$10,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.36 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 69c | 10,796$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…3d1abacked Spirit | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 32c | 10,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.94 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ | 68c | 6,500$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed Spirit | 31c | 5,725$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 33c | 5,179$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.76 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Spirit | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Spirit | 30c | 4,447$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,664$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.04 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed MOUZ | 68c | 3,222$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.04 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Spirit | 32c | 3,168$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.66 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 68c | 3,142$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.45 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Spirit | 33c | 2,235$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…1404backed Spirit | 32c | 2,206$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Spirit | 32c | 2,003$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.89 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Spirit | 35c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 32c | 1,986$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.44 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Spirit | 32c | 1,884$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.84 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Spirit | 32c | 1,836$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Spirit | 31c | 1,525$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.52 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Spirit | 32c | 1,494$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.96 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,430$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.45 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Spirit | 32c | 1,398$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,362$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,198$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.3 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Spirit | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,087$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Spirit | 27c | 1,006$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.48 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,001$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.27 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Spirit | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 68c | 999$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fb36backed Spirit | 32c | 960$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ | 69c | 932.43$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.05 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Spirit | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Spirit | 32c | 893.75$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit | 17c | 886.53$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Spirit | 32c | 870.62$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Spirit | 35c | 860$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Spirit | 32c | 782$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Spirit | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked MOUZ | 68c | 735$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed MOUZ | 61c | 708$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed MOUZ | 68c | 631.94$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Spirit | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 32c | 587.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Spirit | 32c | 562.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Spirit | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Spirit | 31c | 478.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked MOUZ | 69c | 469.19$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Spirit | 33c | 443.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Spirit | 32c | 435.06$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.22 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed MOUZ | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Spirit | 33c | 429.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MOUZ | 69c | 405.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed MOUZ | 69c | 405.78$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Spirit | 32c | 400.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a30bbacked Spirit | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Spirit | 32c | 394.59$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 68c | 383.13$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Spirit | 32c | 368.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Spirit | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Spirit | 30c | 333.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Spirit | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Spirit | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Spirit | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed MOUZ | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed MOUZ | 68c | 295.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 293$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked MOUZ | 61c | 292$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit | 31c | 289.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed MOUZ | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9b05backed MOUZ | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Spirit | 33c | 260$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked MOUZ | 68c | 248.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…ae81backed MOUZ | 69c | 231.56$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Spirit | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…e2d8backed Spirit | 32c | 220.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed MOUZ | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed MOUZ | 68c | 215.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Spirit | 31c | 203.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked MOUZ | 70c | 200.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked MOUZ | 76c | 190.57$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed Spirit | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed MOUZ | 68c | 181.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Spirit | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.