CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8c5930ce3dd1a47e479d267e8ad90d9fe7d4b8b7e69c0daa67df1a514dc9aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,045,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,148,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,045,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 55c | 53,999$29,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,159.77 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spirit | 65c | 45,555$29,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,610.67 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 36c | 29,937$10,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,206.6 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ | 41c | 22,646$9,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,395.14 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 54c | 21,450$11,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,519.48 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked MOUZ | 36c | 17,784$6,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,375.65 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 17,680$11,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.23 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 61c | 14,066$8,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,459.98 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 59c | 13,400$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,923.77 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed MOUZ | 48c | 11,419$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MOUZ | 52c | 10,996$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,237.5 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed MOUZ | 74c | 10,817$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.54 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…32bfbacked MOUZ | 35c | 10,092$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 64c | 10,052$6,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,412.58 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 39c | 10,017$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.53 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…4613backed Spirit | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed MOUZ | 55c | 10,000$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked MOUZ | 46c | 9,940$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.11 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Spirit | 51c | 8,661$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.12 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Spirit | 60c | 8,509$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Spirit | 38c | 8,221$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 63c | 8,029$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.83 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Spirit | 40c | 7,974$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…a26ebacked MOUZ | 76c | 7,791$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 60c | 7,786$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.9 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked MOUZ | 52c | 7,779$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.83 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 41c | 7,756$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.65 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 65c | 7,700$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Spirit | 32c | 7,440$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.8 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 58c | 6,770$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.4 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed MOUZ | 36c | 6,195$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.79 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Spirit | 37c | 5,940$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 64c | 5,696$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.43 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 5,571$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.36 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 5,491$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.14 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Spirit | 61c | 5,376$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.36 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ | 48c | 5,373$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.22 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Spirit | 56c | 5,155$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.84 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Spirit | 47c | 5,091$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Spirit | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 59c | 4,915$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.73 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…80cfbacked Spirit | 32c | 4,531$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed MOUZ | 74c | 4,333$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.58 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 41c | 4,300$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.34 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 58c | 4,200$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.29 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Spirit | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 31c | 3,959$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.01 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Spirit | 66c | 3,939$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,900$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Spirit | 44c | 3,680$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.98 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked MOUZ | 45c | 3,000$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.51 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed MOUZ | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Spirit | 59c | 2,859$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.65 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Spirit | 63c | 2,808$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.33 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…d5d1backed Spirit | 54c | 2,796$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked Spirit | 35c | 2,748$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,733$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.14 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…7c44backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,697$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit | 47c | 2,628$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.04 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Spirit | 48c | 2,618$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.34 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Spirit | 10c | 2,612$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 568 | 22.5%128 W · 440 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ | 76c | 2,555$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.07 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Spirit | 58c | 2,468$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.02 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 39c | 2,406$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.78 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…50f0backed Spirit | 54c | 2,296$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit | 64c | 2,165$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.87 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed MOUZ | 52c | 2,125$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Spirit | 36c | 2,120$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.19 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,084$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.51 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.92 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,950$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,900$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Spirit | 46c | 1,870$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Spirit | 48c | 1,862$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.4 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit | 47c | 1,812$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.87 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed MOUZ | 72c | 1,806$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 44c | 1,698$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.21 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,681$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.03 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 64c | 1,673$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.24 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,618$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.85 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Spirit | 66c | 1,601$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit | 45c | 1,478$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.14 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked MOUZ | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.17 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,448$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.33 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Spirit | 56c | 1,436$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Spirit | 47c | 1,394$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,385$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.27 | 496 | 66.7%331 W · 165 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Spirit | 39c | 1,365$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.71 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit | 59c | 1,363$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,360$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.67 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spirit | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Spirit | 32c | 1,200$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…2806backed Spirit | 44c | 1,166$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.