TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24a5…50f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.09
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+171.9%+$693.91
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,245.29
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.83
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,885.45
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108%+$780.08
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 4 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain - Map 2 Winnerbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.82
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.89
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,281.64
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,008.51
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.94
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$921.2
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bbacked Midas Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$123.63
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.9%+$506.86
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.43
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$2,078.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.