TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Midas Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Rune Eaters78c11,984$9,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.071758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters63c8,620$5,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.51,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Midas Club37c7,270$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.9623435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Midas Club38c5,001$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.2636248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked Midas Club34c3,474$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a452backed Rune Eaters62c2,900$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1023100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+123.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Midas Club29c2,816$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8089954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Midas Club38c2,190$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.212250%61 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Rune Eaters63c1,847$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Rune Eaters64c1,656$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.5330357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…50f0backed Midas Club39c1,556$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2c…5280backed Rune Eaters62c1,450$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Midas Club38c1,410$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.389440.4%38 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Midas Club14c1,404$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Midas Club37c1,347$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3911649.1%57 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Midas Club22c1,268$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0689238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Midas Club18c825.69$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7269132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Rune Eaters65c610.46$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.343860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85b9…1c02backed Rune Eaters62c568.57$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.441060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2ee4backed Midas Club29c500$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.02540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Rune Eaters61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19532445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed Rune Eaters60c476.47$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Rune Eaters62c468.74$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.783946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28c…76e4backed Midas Club35c433.22$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.631833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Rune Eaters63c408.54$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1637754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Rune Eaters62c406.1$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3212646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Midas Club22c365$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5252046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters73c348.38$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.061,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Rune Eaters77c324.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.671369.2%9 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick78cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Rune Eaters59c300$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12426445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2776…4ecbbacked Rune Eaters65c293.67$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.787262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Midas Club21c293.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6853538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Midas Club42c291.07$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Rune Eaters72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7820542.9%88 W · 117 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters64c272.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.691,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Midas Club20c261.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2268345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Midas Club38c256.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1710952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Midas Club22c204.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed Rune Eaters62c201.72$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.653826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Rune Eaters64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Midas Club36c199.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Rune Eaters64c198.72$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7222260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Midas Club41c194.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Midas Club24c193.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7916539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Midas Club13c190.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3741632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Rune Eaters67c173.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4229352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Midas Club32c164.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.959835.7%35 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c5…5bbabacked Rune Eaters65c154.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0421941.1%90 W · 129 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Midas Club35c153.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8823736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rune Eaters62c150.06$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0271342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Midas Club42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609942.4%42 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rune Eaters67c139$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9979341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Midas Club19c136$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6189938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Midas Club23c127.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4417249.4%85 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed Midas Club42c126.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters70c114.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Midas Club20c104.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.568254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Midas Club37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada9…e354backed Midas Club36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Rune Eaters72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813258.3%77 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Midas Club33c99.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9942146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Midas Club32c97.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2881345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Midas Club33c95.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5113731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Rune Eaters64c94.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3738167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked Midas Club15c81.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.310635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Rune Eaters62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6535461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Midas Club39c76.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2093…b974backed Rune Eaters66c76.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.214250%21 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked Rune Eaters67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634568.9%31 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0223…58c0backed Rune Eaters70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Rune Eaters70c67.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Midas Club39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252313%3 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-72.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Rune Eaters63c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6825266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed Midas Club38c60.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Midas Club22c59.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.131,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Midas Club19c59.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4731251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters71c59.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rune Eaters75c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.566545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4d…60f8backed Midas Club38c51.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Rune Eaters64c51.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.754858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Rune Eaters65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.514543.4%63 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Rune Eaters62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3914566.2%96 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcc…3163backed Midas Club23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Rune Eaters79c43.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8537745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260a…eb0fbacked Rune Eaters64c38.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6215368%104 W · 49 L+17.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Rune Eaters60c37.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8218437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Rune Eaters58c34.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.499239.1%36 W · 56 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb695…f967backed Rune Eaters62c34.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9414243%61 W · 81 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Midas Club33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8656945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29a…ae79backed Rune Eaters62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Rune Eaters63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab4…74b7backed Midas Club43c31.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.592850%14 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Rune Eaters64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2518562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe682…dbcdbacked Rune Eaters65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1297142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Rune Eaters69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.998662.8%54 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4a…8a46backed Rune Eaters72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c47…47f5backed Rune Eaters63c25.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.394663%29 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Rune Eaters61c24.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Rune Eaters68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.444474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.