Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07711c23c1a4442dcc217b7c07f77533143e11d743f96a652fe040e6d10392b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Midas Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 7,472$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.48 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 4,468$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.9 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Midas Club | 47c | 3,812$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.11 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Midas Club | 32c | 3,000$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 2,562$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.87 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Midas Club | 47c | 2,109$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.75 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Midas Club | 36c | 1,904$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.42 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Midas Club | 32c | 1,451$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.87 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Midas Club | 55c | 1,169$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 1,163$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.29 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 994.88$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.75 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 937.99$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.24 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Midas Club | 22c | 905.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Midas Club | 35c | 899.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.36 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Midas Club | 38c | 788.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 781.47$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.81 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Midas Club | 38c | 767.48$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 742.9$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.91 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 685.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.35 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Midas Club | 37c | 648.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Midas Club | 47c | 631.69$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 562.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.92 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Midas Club | 35c | 555.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Midas Club | 40c | 380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Midas Club | 37c | 370$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Midas Club | 54c | 369$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Midas Club | 52c | 368.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 344.64$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Midas Club | 50c | 314.12$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 292.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 244$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 240$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Midas Club | 38c | 232.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…1490backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 210.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Midas Club | 43c | 209.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 190$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 175.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 174.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Midas Club | 39c | 164.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Midas Club | 35c | 163.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Midas Club | 37c | 160.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 144.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked Midas Club | 31c | 140.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Midas Club | 42c | 133$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 127.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Midas Club | 31c | 115.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Midas Club | 29c | 115.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Midas Club | 28c | 112.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 109.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Midas Club | 56c | 104.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 100.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Midas Club | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Midas Club | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Midas Club | 40c | 96.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Midas Club | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 90.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…706fbacked Midas Club | 50c | 84.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 80.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 76.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Midas Club | 43c | 76.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…fe2cbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 74.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…a9c2backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 74.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Midas Club | 31c | 70.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Midas Club | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Midas Club | 39c | 65.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 53.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 53.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Midas Club | 58c | 51.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…ce83backed Midas Club | 41c | 48.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 48.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Midas Club | 41c | 48.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Midas Club | 36c | 42.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 39.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 38.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…1cefbacked Midas Club | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Midas Club | 46c | 33.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Midas Club | 38c | 33.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Midas Club | 43c | 32.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 31.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Midas Club | 39c | 30.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…e9bdbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…b581backed Midas Club | 56c | 27.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 27.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 27.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked Midas Club | 47c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 25.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 24.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Midas Club | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club (BO3) - Games of the Future Group BRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.