TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Midas Club - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Midas Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1de…21f5backed Midas Club39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9730452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters62c9,775$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.331,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters63c8,773$5,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.241,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked Rune Eaters72c5,047$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Midas Club35c3,470$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.5195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Midas Club39c2,902$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.221,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters61c2,750$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.5653764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Midas Club34c2,441$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.3788539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Midas Club36c2,373$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.7179859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Midas Club14c2,033$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5112350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Midas Club23c2,000$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3612764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Rune Eaters63c1,901$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.0330357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Midas Club28c1,404$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Midas Club39c1,350$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53225248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Midas Club43c1,071$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.5328347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Midas Club26c1,019$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26519135.6%68 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Midas Club33c999.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.695949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa425…52fabacked Midas Club42c864.65$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Midas Club38c746$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4835737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Midas Club26c731.08$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.088035%28 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed Midas Club48c624.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Rune Eaters60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rune Eaters65c492.31$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3161057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec5…465abacked Rune Eaters78c443.51$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.513745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4436…ffd1backed Midas Club23c438.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Midas Club41c416.7$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1920542.9%88 W · 117 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…21e0backed Rune Eaters64c416.47$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0813464.9%87 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters64c393.69$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.211,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Midas Club13c377.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3989238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Midas Club30c377.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.134442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters73c352.04$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.121,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Midas Club13c350.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6933453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked Midas Club36c330$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-61.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Midas Club26c281.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7247748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Midas Club24c273.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.111,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rune Eaters71c271.17$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5844049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Midas Club31c271.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.011,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Rune Eaters75c267.52$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1547548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Midas Club27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Rune Eaters69c240.58$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5811249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Midas Club27c230.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2117965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Midas Club14c216$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2427636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Rune Eaters76c207.42$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1137745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed Midas Club27c207.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521447.2%101 W · 113 L+16.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Midas Club44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked Midas Club30c199.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Midas Club42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.418152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Midas Club9c144.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4925143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Midas Club14c144$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Midas Club32c139.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.487745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968f…ce83backed Midas Club29c135.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Midas Club25c132.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8981345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0223…58c0backed Rune Eaters59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Midas Club25c116.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.328650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Midas Club43c112.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.313743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf936…fe2cbacked Midas Club27c104.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.33132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec47…a9c2backed Midas Club27c104.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.293234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Rune Eaters73c101.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Midas Club40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Rune Eaters60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011746.2%54 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Midas Club36c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.542146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Midas Club21c95.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3434041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Midas Club30c95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.313336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Midas Club25c89.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Rune Eaters62c89.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7425266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Midas Club21c72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.417745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Rune Eaters56c71.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9219449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Rune Eaters51c71.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96250%31 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Rune Eaters59c68.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3137253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de1…e01bbacked Midas Club22c67.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Rune Eaters62c65.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4827459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Rune Eaters60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2425354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Midas Club39c58.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2338167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked Rune Eaters76c58.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.196259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dba…6929backed Midas Club40c56.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Rune Eaters64c51.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.754858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Midas Club24c50.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1612559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Rune Eaters61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.558943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Rune Eaters60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204269%29 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Midas Club39c45.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6637754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Rune Eaters61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.647358.6%277 W · 196 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed Rune Eaters76c38.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.297358.9%43 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Rune Eaters80c37.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters51c35.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6489938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters78c34.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260a…eb0fbacked Rune Eaters64c33.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9815368%104 W · 49 L+17.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Rune Eaters69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.998662.8%54 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Rune Eaters70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c47…47f5backed Rune Eaters62c26.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.914663%29 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Rune Eaters56c23.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2214848%71 W · 77 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters80c19.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9365647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13bd…a6c5backed Rune Eaters76c19.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61f8…b0e5backed Rune Eaters76c19.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb6…052dbacked Rune Eaters76c19.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked Rune Eaters70c14.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3911747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.