Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd58ac06933e3a4c74c5014a99e74ad7e9b73b4a0afcd74319de8bf109343ee8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof PlayTime, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 105,595$64,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,798.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime | 41c | 58,646$23,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,752.08 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 29,885$17,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,268.09 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 24,551$13,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,167.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PlayTime | 39c | 16,160$6,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,325.79 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 15,750$10,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.76 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed PlayTime | 34c | 13,137$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.52 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PlayTime | 37c | 13,000$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 12,340$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.57 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 11,279$7,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.55 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PlayTime | 45c | 11,219$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,101.58 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 46c | 10,659$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 10,201$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,543.16 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 37c | 9,855$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.56 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 48c | 9,453$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed PlayTime | 47c | 9,396$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.98 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 47c | 9,020$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.59 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked PlayTime | 41c | 8,484$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.02 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed PlayTime | 54c | 8,200$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PlayTime | 38c | 8,045$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.72 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PlayTime | 44c | 8,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.98 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed PlayTime | 59c | 7,819$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PlayTime | 36c | 7,775$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.12 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 7,120$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.17 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked PlayTime | 50c | 6,661$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.35 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed PlayTime | 77c | 6,501$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.74 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PlayTime | 39c | 6,402$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.7 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 5,928$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.1 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 5,790$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.29 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PlayTime | 46c | 5,639$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.69 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PlayTime | 60c | 5,475$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.85 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 58c | 5,404$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.76 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 41c | 4,834$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.13 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PlayTime | 46c | 4,346$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.98 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 4,236$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.91 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 3,914$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.37 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 59c | 3,866$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.86 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 42c | 3,725$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.36 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 40c | 3,558$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.66 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,337$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.3 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 3,280$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.14 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 3,220$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.36 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed PlayTime | 34c | 3,158$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.72 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 3,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.99 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked PlayTime | 40c | 2,996$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed PlayTime | 67c | 2,979$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.32 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 2,957$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.71 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PlayTime | 56c | 2,709$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.72 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 2,666$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.06 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 2,627$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.64 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PlayTime | 4c | 2,508$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 2,415$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.75 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,372$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.79 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,362$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.62 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed PlayTime | 73c | 2,238$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed PlayTime | 68c | 2,217$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,137$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.5 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,076$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.94 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 2,061$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.21 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…637ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,000$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PlayTime | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,983$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.79 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 56c | 1,900$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.5 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,891$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.94 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed PlayTime | 62c | 1,827$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.67 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 36c | 1,750$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,727$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PlayTime | 39c | 1,713$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,713$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.51 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,675$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.24 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,648$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.61 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PlayTime | 46c | 1,647$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.12 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked PlayTime | 34c | 1,580$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.18 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime | 63c | 1,548$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.16 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed PlayTime | 38c | 1,535$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.33 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PlayTime | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,491$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.59 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,461$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.62 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PlayTime | 37c | 1,388$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.25 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PlayTime | 61c | 1,339$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.2 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PlayTime | 5c | 1,313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 36c | 1,302$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.86 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 53c | 1,288$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.85 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 3c | 1,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked PlayTime | 43c | 1,208$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,205$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,160$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.84 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,152$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.58 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed PlayTime | 44c | 1,134$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,130$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.2 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,125$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PlayTime | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.98 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.