Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ac1970ca56ddadaaf60911d3613d092bdab3383198115768297247f5657b209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof PlayTime, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PlayTime | 3c | 29,181$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.49 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 26,000$18,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612.54 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PlayTime | 16c | 23,483$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 30c | 20,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.46 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime | 24c | 19,903$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.52 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 17,635$13,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.28 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PlayTime | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 13,992$9,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.61 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed PlayTime | 14c | 12,500$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 11,648$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.13 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PlayTime | 27c | 10,539$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.34 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PlayTime | 26c | 10,000$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.66 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 30c | 9,628$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 24c | 7,434$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.39 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 6,929$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.91 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PlayTime | 29c | 6,000$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.3 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 29c | 5,929$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.97 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 5,714$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.29 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PlayTime | 27c | 5,710$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.79 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 30c | 5,594$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.79 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 5,048$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.64 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 4,750$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.11 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 12c | 4,576$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.89 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…637ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PlayTime | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.98 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 3,378$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.77 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 3,116$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.68 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked PlayTime | 36c | 2,804$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 2,653$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.04 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 2,540$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.77 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 2,520$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.61 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 2,462$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.89 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed PlayTime | 14c | 2,270$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.3 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed PlayTime | 30c | 2,268$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.99 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 27c | 2,251$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked PlayTime | 35c | 2,119$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,100$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.47 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 2,022$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.33 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 2,014$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.41 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked PlayTime | 20c | 1,867$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,852$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.07 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 1,764$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.91 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PlayTime | 6c | 1,731$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PlayTime | 6c | 1,703$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked PlayTime | 25c | 1,598$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 1,527$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.93 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,519$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.65 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.71 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,496$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.42 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,472$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked PlayTime | 33c | 1,437$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.74 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed PlayTime | 14c | 1,430$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed PlayTime | 26c | 1,400$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.83 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed PlayTime | 21c | 1,364$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PlayTime | 13c | 1,360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed PlayTime | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,309$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.64 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 20c | 1,280$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 18c | 1,279$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,256$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed PlayTime | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,247$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.9 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime | 18c | 1,205$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 3c | 1,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,145$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed PlayTime | 24c | 1,111$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…d607backed PlayTime | 22c | 1,110$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,044$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.52 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed PlayTime | 2c | 1,019$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…c542backed PlayTime | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime | 35c | 999.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked PlayTime | 29c | 997.1$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…2f40backed PlayTime | 4c | 964.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…2463backed PlayTime | 9c | 886$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 32c | 885.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.52 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked PlayTime | 32c | 883.57$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.01 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…9609backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 876.32$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed PlayTime | 12c | 851.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 843.7$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.17 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 818.47$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.97 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PlayTime | 35c | 811.4$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed PlayTime | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed PlayTime | 24c | 806$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 798.33$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…b615backed PlayTime | 38c | 782.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked PlayTime | 19c | 781.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed PlayTime | 24c | 740$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…cb74backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 727.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.93 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 8c | 690$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 664.47$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.21 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 616.71$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.01 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 610.07$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.