Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44b8736f7b6f25387e7c752aeaf7abd77ae79a110d81470bc372274b0472a350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Yellow Submarine, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 55c | 22,522$12,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.7 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 10,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Resilience | 58c | 10,462$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.89 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience | 54c | 8,736$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.58 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 8,107$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.89 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 7,671$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Resilience | 74c | 7,669$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.31 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 7,051$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.56 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 6,480$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.59 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 6,042$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.49 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 5,703$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.07 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 57c | 5,208$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 3,913$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Resilience | 76c | 3,720$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.01 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yellow Submarine | 13c | 3,473$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…50f0backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 2,880$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Resilience | 66c | 2,683$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.71 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Resilience | 51c | 2,576$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.52 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 2,495$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Resilience | 76c | 2,415$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.59 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 2,351$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 2,062$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.66 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,995$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 1,980$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,883$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.11 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 1,675$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Resilience | 62c | 1,612$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.26 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Resilience | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 1,450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Resilience | 62c | 1,440$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.03 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,400$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,351$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Team Resilience | 59c | 1,333$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.66 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Resilience | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Resilience | 77c | 1,317$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.27 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience | 76c | 1,302$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.01 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,300$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Resilience | 47c | 1,149$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.97 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 1,130$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,042$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 1,007$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.85 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yellow Submarine | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine | 16c | 992.38$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed Team Resilience | 60c | 977.86$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 946.17$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.59 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Yellow Submarine | 15c | 937.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 900$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.97 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 893.16$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.06 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 866$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 848.91$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.14 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 834.41$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.83 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 826.09$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 808.67$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.97 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Team Resilience | 53c | 780.48$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 770.31$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Resilience | 52c | 767.07$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.07 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 712.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.29 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Team Resilience | 53c | 684.09$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.55 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 670$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.52 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 665.42$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.81 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 609.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 543.42$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.97 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Resilience | 51c | 533.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.15 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 529.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 526.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 513.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Resilience | 57c | 509.03$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Yellow Submarine | 11c | 503.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Yellow Submarine | 18c | 500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Resilience | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 499.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team Resilience | 75c | 494.67$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 492.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.62 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 492.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 482$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 475.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Team Resilience | 63c | 474.58$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.4 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 454.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 449.66$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 436.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 430.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Resilience | 59c | 426$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 411.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 404$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 403.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 400$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Resilience | 75c | 398.3$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Resilience | 59c | 394.51$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 392.61$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 390$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 381.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.