Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb327920e975347c53d82b9c2b16d9f0b916408653520ee2a9ba6a6675568c127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 53c | 89,104$47,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,398.38 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 35,000$16,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,149.96 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 18,739$8,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,373.83 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 11,608$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.76 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 11,149$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516.26 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Resilience | 51c | 8,695$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.88 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 8,478$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.94 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Resilience | 46c | 5,391$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.2 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 4,943$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.44 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 3,996$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.6 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 3,601$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.55 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 3,367$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.46 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Resilience | 45c | 2,626$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.41 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 2,261$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.09 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 2,165$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.24 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Resilience | 40c | 2,100$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.68 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Resilience | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 2,000$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.39 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.96 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 1,970$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.63 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,763$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.03 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 1,700$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.46 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Resilience | 31c | 1,626$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Resilience | 43c | 1,621$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.41 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Team Resilience | 69c | 1,602$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,600$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.42 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Resilience | 30c | 1,598$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,553$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Resilience | 40c | 1,550$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 1,507$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.49 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 64c | 1,415$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.27 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 1,367$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.17 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Resilience | 26c | 1,300$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.24 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,279$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.79 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,265$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,170$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.1 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 1,100$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Resilience | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Resilience | 6c | 1,078$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 1,063$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.42 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 1,062$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.46 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Resilience | 56c | 1,061$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.67 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 1,050$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.21 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Team Resilience | 67c | 1,004$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.2 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Team Resilience | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.8 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Resilience | 70c | 961.06$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.74 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 954.26$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.64 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked Team Resilience | 60c | 933.62$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Resilience | 36c | 908.47$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 899.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 810.12$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 774.76$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 771.7$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.1 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Resilience | 69c | 707.65$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.06 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 694.71$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Team Resilience | 20c | 636.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Resilience | 27c | 635.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 628.76$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 612.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Team Resilience | 58c | 603$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Resilience | 46c | 597.42$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Team Resilience | 34c | 596.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Resilience | 16c | 590.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience | 54c | 581.38$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.37 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Team Resilience | 45c | 571.36$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 562.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 556.25$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 64c | 543.96$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 540$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 499.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Team Resilience | 27c | 490.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 484.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 470$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.54 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 459.89$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Resilience | 51c | 437.13$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.08 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Team Resilience | 69c | 435.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 421.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.14 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Team Resilience | 54c | 395.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Team Resilience | 67c | 388.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Team Resilience | 3c | 387.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 379$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Team Resilience | 40c | 369.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 367.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team Resilience | 70c | 365.71$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Team Resilience | 45c | 365.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Team Resilience | 56c | 361.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 356.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Resilience | 27c | 338.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 329.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Team Resilience | 52c | 327.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.