Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c13776453e3f2b5046bdd46075777f14bdd27819fb5d79cf4ac0e8f538069f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Yellow Submarine, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 56c | 56,539$31,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,823.91 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 27,881$12,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,224.81 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience | 53c | 14,187$7,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.35 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 11,001$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.53 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Resilience | 46c | 10,677$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.6 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 8,979$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.99 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Resilience | 60c | 8,701$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.25 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 6,915$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Resilience | 39c | 5,659$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.23 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 4,210$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.68 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Resilience | 55c | 4,169$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.08 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Resilience | 35c | 3,174$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Resilience | 40c | 3,025$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.45 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,986$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.22 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,958$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.78 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 1,942$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.57 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 1,906$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.53 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,885$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.02 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Team Resilience | 77c | 1,700$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.23 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 55c | 1,700$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.94 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 1,659$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.03 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…bd22backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 1,639$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.16 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 1,628$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.62 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,625$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.33 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,623$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.13 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,596$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.84 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,566$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 1,564$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.66 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 1,502$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.97 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,500$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 1,444$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.01 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Resilience | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Resilience | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,259$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.97 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,248$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Team Resilience | 48c | 1,237$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.13 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,153$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.63 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 1,152$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,142$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.89 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,114$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 1,068$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.1 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 1,064$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.1 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Team Resilience | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 983$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.54 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 973.83$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.92 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 925.24$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Team Resilience | 58c | 887.81$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Resilience | 78c | 872.51$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Resilience | 55c | 837.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.63 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 829.98$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 828.24$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.05 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 734.21$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.95 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 709.8$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.64 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Resilience | 62c | 707.93$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 705.22$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.19 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 696.32$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.21 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 688.04$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.95 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Resilience | 59c | 654.79$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 611.23$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.35 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Resilience | 39c | 600$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Resilience | 56c | 594.64$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.64 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 579$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 556.43$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 549.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 540.2$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 536.86$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 527.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Resilience | 62c | 527.8$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 525.31$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.58 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 497.18$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 475.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 467.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Resilience | 77c | 454.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 451.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 450$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Team Resilience | 70c | 418.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 406$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Resilience | 66c | 405.29$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 400$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 393.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 383.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 58c | 375.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 353.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Team Resilience | 59c | 344.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Resilience | 80c | 342.9$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…7ddfbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 342.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Resilience | 59c | 332.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.