Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f52d4c1e790f736f69fcd522263b02bcd3c2b17a729dbf048970ed59ee5808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof L1ga Team, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Level UP | 24c | 22,446$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,110.92 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed L1ga Team | 69c | 14,539$10,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,023.57 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 68c | 13,801$9,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Level UP | 31c | 13,286$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,122.83 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 9,106$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed L1ga Team | 68c | 8,063$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,488.35 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 7,500$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Level UP | 31c | 6,463$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Level UP | 35c | 6,250$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.94 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Level UP | 46c | 4,560$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.91 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Level UP | 31c | 4,486$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.88 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Level UP | 47c | 3,770$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.19 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed L1ga Team | 69c | 3,701$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.48 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 3,500$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.16 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 66c | 3,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 3,423$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.86 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Level UP | 45c | 3,122$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.09 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Level UP | 26c | 3,066$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.45 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Level UP | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.97 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Level UP | 13c | 2,899$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.67 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Level UP | 32c | 2,782$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.97 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Level UP | 35c | 2,770$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.29 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Level UP | 38c | 2,635$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.55 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Level UP | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.28 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 2,265$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.81 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 2,194$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.56 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed L1ga Team | 69c | 2,015$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed L1ga Team | 70c | 2,005$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.65 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Level UP | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed L1ga Team | 67c | 1,913$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.71 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,750$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Level UP | 37c | 1,555$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.22 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Level UP | 76c | 1,500$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.64 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed L1ga Team | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed L1ga Team | 54c | 1,500$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.83 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Level UP | 35c | 1,437$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.14 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Level UP | 28c | 1,420$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 70c | 1,398$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.9 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed L1ga Team | 55c | 1,392$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Level UP | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 3c | 1,350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked L1ga Team | 78c | 1,287$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Level UP | 36c | 1,286$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.72 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Level UP | 49c | 1,281$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.44 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Level UP | 33c | 1,272$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.91 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Level UP | 53c | 1,247$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.81 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed L1ga Team | 69c | 1,199$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.63 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Level UP | 30c | 1,158$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.27 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 1,059$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Level UP | 37c | 1,041$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.18 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed L1ga Team | 67c | 1,021$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.42 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed L1ga Team | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed L1ga Team | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed L1ga Team | 27c | 996.6$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.56 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Level UP | 41c | 968.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.39 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Level UP | 35c | 937.5$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.51 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed L1ga Team | 66c | 909.32$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed L1ga Team | 73c | 889.43$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Level UP | 32c | 870.76$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.69 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed L1ga Team | 66c | 865.65$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.8 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Level UP | 33c | 849.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…c542backed L1ga Team | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed L1ga Team | 24c | 796.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked L1ga Team | 54c | 790.26$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked L1ga Team | 71c | 785.91$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.31 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 780.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.67 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Level UP | 32c | 763.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.63 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed L1ga Team | 43c | 753.96$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 58c | 750$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Level UP | 52c | 746.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Level UP | 26c | 739.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.85 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…50f0backed Level UP | 26c | 684.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Level UP | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed L1ga Team | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed L1ga Team | 62c | 622.92$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.21 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Level UP | 64c | 620.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Level UP | 38c | 608.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.54 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed L1ga Team | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Level UP | 34c | 595.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed L1ga Team | 56c | 592$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.55 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 585.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Level UP | 31c | 574.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.43 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Level UP | 32c | 529.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.65 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed L1ga Team | 58c | 520.62$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed L1ga Team | 66c | 499.96$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Level UP | 30c | 462.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…fb20backed L1ga Team | 60c | 450.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed L1ga Team | 45c | 444.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Level UP | 25c | 433.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.52 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed L1ga Team | 70c | 427.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Level UP | 32c | 425.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed L1ga Team | 36c | 416$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 410$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.57 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed L1ga Team | 49c | 407.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Level UP | 55c | 403.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…2f40backed Level UP | 34c | 385.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Level UP | 49c | 364.15$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 355.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked Level UP | 52c | 338.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.