Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4a443da13aa5b4e5b6810dd4eb3bf58912faeaf53e27548a2989f1debb0700c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof L1ga Team, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Level UP | 29c | 35,307$10,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,161.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Level UP | 30c | 15,000$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,535.16 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Level UP | 25c | 14,854$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,207.33 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed L1ga Team | 74c | 11,299$8,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,341.93 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed L1ga Team | 77c | 10,561$8,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,103.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 8,777$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Level UP | 21c | 8,109$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,407.61 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Level UP | 21c | 7,485$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,913.63 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed L1ga Team | 76c | 7,104$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,394.61 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed L1ga Team | 72c | 6,666$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.4 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed L1ga Team | 78c | 6,448$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Level UP | 52c | 5,858$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.35 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Level UP | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed L1ga Team | 29c | 4,971$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed L1ga Team | 74c | 4,454$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.3 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed L1ga Team | 77c | 4,000$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.8 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Level UP | 28c | 3,906$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.01 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Level UP | 48c | 3,000$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.1 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Level UP | 43c | 2,935$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.09 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed L1ga Team | 75c | 2,400$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Level UP | 48c | 2,350$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.92 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 56c | 2,340$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.99 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed Level UP | 52c | 2,313$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed L1ga Team | 35c | 2,277$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 2,200$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Level UP | 55c | 2,084$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.44 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 1,995$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.77 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed L1ga Team | 28c | 1,782$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed L1ga Team | 80c | 1,735$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.71 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked L1ga Team | 78c | 1,720$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.6 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Level UP | 72c | 1,498$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed L1ga Team | 72c | 1,497$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed L1ga Team | 75c | 1,420$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.88 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed L1ga Team | 72c | 1,370$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.6 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed L1ga Team | 70c | 1,324$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.73 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 1,314$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.43 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Level UP | 52c | 1,238$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.68 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 70c | 1,159$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.96 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed L1ga Team | 41c | 1,152$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.93 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team | 77c | 1,116$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.58 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…d607backed L1ga Team | 32c | 1,110$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Level UP | 66c | 1,078$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 1,053$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Level UP | 32c | 1,021$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed L1ga Team | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed L1ga Team | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked L1ga Team | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Level UP | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed L1ga Team | 75c | 957$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.39 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Level UP | 60c | 901.52$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed L1ga Team | 54c | 894.31$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Level UP | 66c | 883.18$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.58 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed L1ga Team | 50c | 856$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Level UP | 24c | 806$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.56 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Level UP | 15c | 793$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.05 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Level UP | 31c | 710.43$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.43 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Level UP | 39c | 699.32$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.76 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Level UP | 28c | 692$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.24 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Level UP | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Level UP | 28c | 655$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.6 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Level UP | 54c | 620.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.01 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Level UP | 26c | 603$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Level UP | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 600$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed L1ga Team | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Level UP | 28c | 595.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.68 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 59c | 594.71$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed L1ga Team | 75c | 538.63$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.97 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed L1ga Team | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 515.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Level UP | 78c | 514.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked L1ga Team | 73c | 514.56$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.58 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Level UP | 24c | 508.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.38 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Level UP | 28c | 501$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed L1ga Team | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked L1ga Team | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed L1ga Team | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Level UP | 28c | 489.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.32 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Level UP | 25c | 439.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed L1ga Team | 80c | 439.51$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Level UP | 79c | 405.39$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Level UP | 43c | 401.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked L1ga Team | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Level UP | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed L1ga Team | 36c | 372.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…2f40backed L1ga Team | 47c | 371.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed L1ga Team | 69c | 360.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Level UP | 60c | 353.81$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked L1ga Team | 77c | 353.5$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.02 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed L1ga Team | 26c | 333$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 330.84$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Level UP | 53c | 305.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…f5b0backed Level UP | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked L1ga Team | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed L1ga Team | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Level UP | 66c | 277.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked L1ga Team | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 WinnerLevel UP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.