CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719be57bad7a89ee7af86815cc86829ffd701be2b54d4f53097876276e9124b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof WW Team, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9279…4748backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 7,102$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.84 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked WW Team | 33c | 2,823$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.87 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 38c | 2,339$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.54 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…50f0backed WW Team | 40c | 1,878$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed WW Team | 8c | 1,335$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 1,335$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.73 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,193$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 900.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.62 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked WW Team | 33c | 852.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WW Team | 39c | 641.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed WW Team | 45c | 468.89$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 274.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 257.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed WW Team | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…7fd3backed WW Team | 44c | 218.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked WW Team | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WW Team | 20c | 186.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 27c | 178.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 173.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WW Team | 27c | 172.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 136.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 107.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked WW Team | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed WW Team | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked WW Team | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed WW Team | 43c | 74.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed WW Team | 32c | 71.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed WW Team | 32c | 71.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed WW Team | 46c | 39.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 33.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…b581backed WW Team | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed WW Team | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 15.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)WW Team won
- Map Handicap: VP (-2.5) vs WW Team (+2.5)WW Team won
- Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.