CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31e19b1fb2fc8466a2b13bde375b750345276869339e5c3c0543976fc597d9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof WW Team, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked WW Team | 35c | 1,814$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,677$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,636$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.43 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 55c | 504.65$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 22c | 254$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked WW Team | 48c | 206.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 192$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 180.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 138.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 94.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed WW Team | 29c | 90.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 80.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed WW Team | 50c | 48.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe50…e2cdbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 28.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked WW Team | 56c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 WinnerWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 4 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5)WW Team won
- Map Handicap: VP (-2.5) vs WW Team (+2.5)WW Team won
- Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.