CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef059bb64cb5ee6e4ba85791397154b7d90c99d8430c6ae8090b22c754f576e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 30c | 3,046$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 2,003$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Under | 70c | 1,740$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 30c | 1,719$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.7 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 30c | 1,028$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.4 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 70c | 887$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 70c | 547$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 48c | 489.33$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Under | 71c | 376.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Under | 46c | 323.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 239.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 221.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 70c | 214.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 71c | 214.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 202.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 70c | 181.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 70c | 173.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…acb0backed Over | 68c | 165.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Over | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…28bebacked Over | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 69c | 145.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 70c | 140.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 69c | 130.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 69c | 128.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Under | 72c | 109.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…e2ffbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Over | 40c | 83.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 49c | 78.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 31c | 66.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 62.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 54c | 48.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 68c | 39.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 70c | 33.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…b30abacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 33c | 32.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 51c | 27.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 47c | 24.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…32debacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…6e0abacked Under | 65c | 21.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…ccc3backed Under | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.