CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f8f8466ebabd53249424957d6447691c8c36aa021aaf430391f4a59363b751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $722,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $846,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $722,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bcb…398abacked Spirit | 65c | 62,770$40,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,727.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 38c | 43,780$16,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,047.7 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 21c | 42,617$9,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,117.38 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Spirit | 62c | 30,065$18,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,631.65 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked MOUZ | 42c | 25,899$10,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,933.61 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ | 36c | 24,805$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,875.2 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked MOUZ | 35c | 17,014$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,059.21 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Spirit | 37c | 16,559$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.2 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ | 38c | 15,480$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,597.52 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…4613backed MOUZ | 39c | 12,379$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.93 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MOUZ | 64c | 10,023$6,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.59 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.9 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Spirit | 23c | 9,975$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.74 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Spirit | 66c | 9,469$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 62c | 7,820$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.43 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 7,100$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.57 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Spirit | 50c | 6,632$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.44 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Spirit | 44c | 6,588$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.85 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed MOUZ | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed MOUZ | 38c | 5,928$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Spirit | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed MOUZ | 35c | 5,489$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed Spirit | 63c | 5,457$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 5,415$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit | 62c | 5,000$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.15 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit | 63c | 4,908$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Spirit | 47c | 4,395$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked Spirit | 51c | 4,250$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Spirit | 47c | 4,043$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Spirit | 46c | 3,800$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 34c | 3,593$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.25 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Spirit | 36c | 3,570$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.24 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f812backed Spirit | 48c | 3,206$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Spirit | 67c | 3,200$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Spirit | 66c | 3,150$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 74c | 3,124$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.39 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Spirit | 49c | 3,122$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.77 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed MOUZ | 76c | 3,077$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,946$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.51 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Spirit | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,730$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.86 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed MOUZ | 70c | 2,688$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Spirit | 64c | 2,618$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.02 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,591$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Spirit | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked MOUZ | 74c | 2,495$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.98 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,442$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.92 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,280$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.84 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 52c | 2,269$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,208$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.04 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Spirit | 66c | 2,200$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.99 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,124$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Spirit | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,937$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.68 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 63c | 1,910$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.61 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,889$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.79 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Spirit | 67c | 1,847$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.31 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,717$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.75 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Spirit | 56c | 1,669$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.73 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,548$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.47 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 43c | 1,481$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed Spirit | 52c | 1,467$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,451$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.42 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 47c | 1,391$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.74 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Spirit | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit | 31c | 1,303$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Spirit | 30c | 1,259$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,212$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Spirit | 63c | 1,203$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,114$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.96 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Spirit | 25c | 1,100$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Spirit | 43c | 1,038$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,015$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.76 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,015$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.2 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Spirit | 55c | 999.99$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked MOUZ | 51c | 999.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spirit | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Spirit | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Spirit | 40c | 968.45$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Spirit | 46c | 966$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.45 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Spirit | 52c | 953.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed MOUZ | 72c | 936$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed MOUZ | 70c | 887.16$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed Spirit | 35c | 877$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit | 36c | 862.83$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit | 63c | 854.05$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.05 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit | 42c | 834.45$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.68 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Spirit | 52c | 825$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 63c | 800.19$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.12 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed MOUZ | 75c | 795$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ | 65c | 793.18$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.1 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 38c | 782.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.73 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed Spirit | 63c | 767.35$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 63c | 762.92$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.55 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Spirit | 66c | 752$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.34 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.