CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc099280f4ff030b6a2a9df441402709c99add7199dc6c842c1949238e0d2ca66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,024,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,209,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed MOUZ | 60c | 119,762$71,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,392.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 43c | 72,747$30,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,995.66 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 40c | 30,919$12,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,529.52 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Spirit | 54c | 10,375$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.58 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked MOUZ | 44c | 8,713$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.7 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Spirit | 40c | 7,176$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.23 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 42c | 6,810$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.32 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 53c | 6,793$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.78 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 42c | 6,545$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.42 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Spirit | 48c | 6,353$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.26 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 40c | 6,264$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.62 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Spirit | 55c | 6,077$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.34 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked MOUZ | 73c | 5,760$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.79 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 58c | 5,448$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.46 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 5,269$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.33 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Spirit | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.98 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Spirit | 39c | 4,489$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Spirit | 47c | 4,315$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 4,300$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 52c | 4,203$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.42 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed MOUZ | 63c | 4,200$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked Spirit | 47c | 4,118$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 44c | 3,860$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.41 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Spirit | 63c | 3,657$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Spirit | 69c | 3,615$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.15 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit | 69c | 3,559$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.97 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed MOUZ | 58c | 3,371$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.43 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Spirit | 37c | 3,214$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Spirit | 67c | 3,200$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Spirit | 62c | 3,200$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.99 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked MOUZ | 70c | 3,037$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.12 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 45c | 2,931$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.12 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed Spirit | 69c | 2,889$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,885$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.82 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Spirit | 34c | 2,871$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Spirit | 53c | 2,764$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.28 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit | 32c | 2,720$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.18 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,685$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.25 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 63c | 2,647$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.39 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Spirit | 43c | 2,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed MOUZ | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.96 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed MOUZ | 71c | 2,466$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.81 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,380$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.19 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Spirit | 54c | 2,376$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,285$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,228$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.1 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed Spirit | 70c | 2,194$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.77 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 46c | 2,186$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.52 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit | 43c | 2,147$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…66ecbacked MOUZ | 70c | 2,099$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 39c | 2,097$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.84 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,011$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Spirit | 69c | 2,000$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.99 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Spirit | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Spirit | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,943$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.66 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Spirit | 56c | 1,940$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.79 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Spirit | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit | 50c | 1,768$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.81 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…d914backed Spirit | 38c | 1,761$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,742$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.84 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,740$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Spirit | 55c | 1,729$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.77 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f812backed Spirit | 58c | 1,723$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.31 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,619$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.96 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Spirit | 53c | 1,606$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.2 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,590$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.14 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Spirit | 48c | 1,570$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,551$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.84 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit | 69c | 1,541$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.86 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 36c | 1,521$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.45 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Spirit | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,458$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.67 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Spirit | 5c | 1,422$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Spirit | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.63 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.9 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,300$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,250$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.48 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Spirit | 49c | 1,221$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.18 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Spirit | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Spirit | 50c | 1,200$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.83 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 62c | 1,176$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.38 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Spirit | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Spirit | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,157$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.94 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Spirit | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit | 43c | 1,136$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.52 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,125$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.25 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Spirit | 40c | 1,091$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.69 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…a26ebacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,090$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Spirit | 62c | 1,090$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.9 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,002$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.9 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Spirit | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked Spirit | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed MOUZ | 38c | 998.02$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.73 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.