CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb25459d0d24fbb8624538fda451f4977dc20d927409f80665d922c229eeb6b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $908,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,057,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $908,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed Spirit | 56c | 57,547$32,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,462.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 63c | 51,185$32,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,940.94 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 37c | 38,888$14,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,388.45 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 34c | 36,559$12,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,556.86 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ | 37c | 25,813$9,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,550.85 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit | 65c | 17,326$11,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.05 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed MOUZ | 37c | 16,356$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…4613backed MOUZ | 38c | 15,000$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked MOUZ | 36c | 13,686$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.48 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed Spirit | 65c | 13,608$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Spirit | 62c | 13,444$8,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.57 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 29c | 13,377$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.52 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 38c | 12,449$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.18 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Spirit | 64c | 12,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed MOUZ | 36c | 11,080$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 35c | 10,000$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.52 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 64c | 9,060$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.58 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked MOUZ | 46c | 8,875$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.31 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 8,573$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.73 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…32bfbacked MOUZ | 36c | 8,045$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.99 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Spirit | 65c | 7,662$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Spirit | 61c | 7,400$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.92 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Spirit | 49c | 6,597$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.62 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked Spirit | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit | 63c | 4,635$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.3 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit | 68c | 4,510$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.29 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Spirit | 59c | 4,333$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.87 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Spirit | 70c | 4,328$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked MOUZ | 57c | 4,228$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 50c | 3,721$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 66c | 3,420$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed MOUZ | 33c | 3,380$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 3,120$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed MOUZ | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,970$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.62 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Spirit | 54c | 2,900$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,753$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.56 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Spirit | 53c | 2,733$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.69 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 32c | 2,728$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.99 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Spirit | 64c | 2,700$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ | 37c | 2,676$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.17 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Spirit | 62c | 2,625$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,500$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Spirit | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 76c | 2,435$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.89 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Spirit | 58c | 2,410$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.9 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Spirit | 65c | 2,380$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.36 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Spirit | 63c | 2,380$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.4 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,333$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,276$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 43c | 2,235$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.05 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Spirit | 64c | 2,234$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Spirit | 63c | 2,231$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.32 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Spirit | 67c | 2,181$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed MOUZ | 29c | 2,150$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.94 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 2,150$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.48 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit | 65c | 2,041$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.5 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 34c | 2,019$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,967$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.01 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,950$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,898$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.28 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Spirit | 58c | 1,895$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.67 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit | 72c | 1,852$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Spirit | 66c | 1,830$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.18 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,810$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,800$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,565$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Spirit | 69c | 1,555$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.55 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,500$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.99 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Spirit | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Spirit | 64c | 1,496$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.54 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,479$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.67 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,450$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spirit | 67c | 1,445$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.2 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,362$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,240$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Spirit | 65c | 1,220$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Spirit | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Spirit | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.99 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Spirit | 64c | 1,171$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,168$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.64 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,094$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,094$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Spirit | 63c | 1,077$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…fc26backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,058$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spirit | 64c | 1,042$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Spirit | 67c | 1,042$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.79 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,038$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.18 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,000$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.03 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Spirit | 64c | 1,000$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.45 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed MOUZ | 43c | 975.11$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.7 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.