CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4164f05d2e62fa8643e1600e6b963d95b5f835460ee44b7a3f54f031a037ccf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Spirit | 61c | 21,558$13,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,150.1 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked MOUZ | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.96 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Spirit | 60c | 19,338$11,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,602.5 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked MOUZ | 40c | 15,000$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,049.96 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Spirit | 61c | 14,000$8,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,540 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ | 41c | 12,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 42c | 10,718$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed MOUZ | 41c | 9,276$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…c2febacked Spirit | 59c | 9,230$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed MOUZ | 39c | 8,384$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed MOUZ | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Spirit | 60c | 7,210$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed MOUZ | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Spirit | 60c | 6,507$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.99 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 60c | 5,804$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 54c | 5,705$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.57 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…de25backed Spirit | 58c | 5,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 59c | 4,444$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.96 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed MOUZ | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Spirit | 66c | 4,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.99 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 41c | 3,609$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…3d72backed Spirit | 60c | 3,373$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 48c | 3,204$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.39 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 59c | 3,100$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 73c | 2,966$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.72 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,742$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.52 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,011$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 40c | 2,006$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.6 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Spirit | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Spirit | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,829$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.97 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Spirit | 60c | 1,755$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.05 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,709$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.17 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,685$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.72 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,668$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.7 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Spirit | 62c | 1,564$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.71 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Spirit | 27c | 1,468$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,450$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,212$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.47 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed MOUZ | 32c | 1,206$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.25 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,198$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.55 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…6c4abacked Spirit | 59c | 1,140$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Spirit | 40c | 1,121$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.39 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Spirit | 58c | 1,012$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Spirit | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 42c | 963.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.71 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Spirit | 60c | 950$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed MOUZ | 35c | 908$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.2 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Spirit | 59c | 847.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked MOUZ | 32c | 845.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.8 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Spirit | 62c | 807.98$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.95 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…11f8backed Spirit | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Spirit | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Spirit | 59c | 799.98$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed MOUZ | 52c | 787.24$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.67 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked MOUZ | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Spirit | 60c | 740.06$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Spirit | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Spirit | 61c | 660$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Spirit | 55c | 641.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Spirit | 58c | 551.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed MOUZ | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spirit | 58c | 511.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MOUZ | 38c | 510.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.49 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spirit | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Spirit | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed Spirit | 61c | 497.61$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Spirit | 60c | 483.83$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 46c | 433.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 59c | 425.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fe08backed Spirit | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked MOUZ | 39c | 415.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Spirit | 60c | 408.33$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ | 37c | 400.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Spirit | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed MOUZ | 39c | 384$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 48c | 363.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked MOUZ | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit | 60c | 335.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Spirit | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Spirit | 61c | 331$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Spirit | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed MOUZ | 31c | 312.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Spirit | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ | 41c | 299.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.