TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9267…869e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.4
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Honvéd (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.79
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$907.77
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.65
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$519.84
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.62
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$743.82
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.5
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$476.84
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.78
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.8
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5)backed 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.12
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$224
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$393.19
Map Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)backed WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$408
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$709.67
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.03
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$645
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$665
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$371.77
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$472.5
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.02
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,303.56
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$234.75
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$520
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,274.52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$257.6
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.2
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.7
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Cupid Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$259.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.2%+$1,213.8
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)backed Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.52
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.1
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$166.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.2
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$645.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$182.4
ITF M15 Båstad Men: John Hallquist Lithen vs Davide Tortorabacked Davide Tortora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.