CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Honvéd (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f773fde6ea3eda1dcb522898a4aa11c0e3137e0aba04b42c85e07de84259e14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Honvéd | 30c | 2,890$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.59 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 2,242$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.22 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Honvéd | 33c | 1,463$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Honvéd | 33c | 1,344$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 995.29$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…f447backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 710$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 607$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Honvéd | 34c | 527$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Honvéd | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 369$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Honvéd | 33c | 308.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Honvéd | 21c | 195.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Honvéd | 14c | 139.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…9582backed Honvéd | 35c | 129.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Honvéd | 25c | 116.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…b4d3backed Honvéd | 30c | 111.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 110.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 88.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 85.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Honvéd | 33c | 66.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Honvéd | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 56.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Honvéd | 35c | 51.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 50.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 47.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Honvéd | 33c | 46.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…c4f0backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 39.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Honvéd | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 32.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Honvéd | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Honvéd | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 14.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Honvéd (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Honvéd - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.