Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa05f637073ae0232653d3550f41b2919d212f0719ebf86f8368d018f68a724c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 29c | 15,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,700.4 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 71c | 11,409$8,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,080.32 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 30c | 3,378$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.86 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 72c | 2,864$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.1 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 71c | 2,691$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.61 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 75c | 1,876$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 25c | 1,807$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.62 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Over | 72c | 1,440$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 71c | 1,423$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.33 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Over | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 256 | 60.5%155 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Over | 74c | 1,150$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 43c | 1,127$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.75 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 30c | 892.03$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.09 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 55c | 891.08$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.23 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 30c | 882$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.55 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 27c | 681.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.24 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 623.77$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.34 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Over | 71c | 577.46$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 74c | 423.07$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.96 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Under | 63c | 393.6$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 30c | 368.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.74 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 24c | 366.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 27c | 342.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.81 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 29c | 334.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Over | 73c | 273.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 71c | 263.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 26c | 262$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 27c | 240$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Over | 71c | 239.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 69c | 235.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 30c | 182.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…4c5abacked Over | 75c | 174.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Under | 31c | 154.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 71c | 138.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Under | 61c | 133.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 26c | 117.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 28c | 101.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 52c | 83.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -13.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…1dd1backed Over | 77c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 26c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Over | 70c | 57.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 77c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Under | 30c | 52.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Over | 71c | 51.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 27c | 50.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 31c | 48.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 71c | 42.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…b241backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 27c | 39.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…e64ebacked Over | 79c | 37.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 80c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…a610backed Over | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Over | 39c | 30.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…98babacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…02bfbacked Over | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 188 | 63.3%119 W · 69 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…3171backed Over | 67c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…969abacked Over | 79c | 18.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+2.5)DN SOOPers won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)DN SOOPers won
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers (+2.5)DN SOOPers won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsDN SOOPers won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 WinnerDN SOOPers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.