Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x884cabe13646db5986fcba68b0353bbc92d36fb6e90643416f245f9b2bb3fcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPersof Nongshim Red Force, DN SOOPers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Nongshim Red Force | 33c | 19,918$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.46 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed DN SOOPers | 67c | 10,000$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.49 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed DN SOOPers | 68c | 4,859$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.21 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed DN SOOPers | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 1,075$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.64 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 905.67$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.93 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed DN SOOPers | 67c | 759.32$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.31 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 38c | 535.93$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 471.7$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 38c | 471.05$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed DN SOOPers | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim Red Force | 32c | 342.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 318.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked DN SOOPers | 66c | 318.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 316.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked DN SOOPers | 62c | 314.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nongshim Red Force | 37c | 265.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked DN SOOPers | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed DN SOOPers | 75c | 214.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed DN SOOPers | 64c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked DN SOOPers | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 148.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Nongshim Red Force | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 82.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 79.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 34c | 75.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed DN SOOPers | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…59d6backed DN SOOPers | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Nongshim Red Force | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 57.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked DN SOOPers | 71c | 55.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Nongshim Red Force | 33c | 45.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Nongshim Red Force | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nongshim Red Force | 28c | 45.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DN SOOPers | 63c | 45.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Nongshim Red Force | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed DN SOOPers | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 30.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+2.5)DN SOOPers won
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers (+2.5)DN SOOPers won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsDN SOOPers won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 WinnerDN SOOPers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.