TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6dd…238b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
491
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT22741%93 W · 134 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 227 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$73.67
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.62
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$70.75
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.24
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Game Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)backed Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$289
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$285.35
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$405.56
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$670.52
Showing 25 of 227 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT12446.8%58 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.89
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$82.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$325.86
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$514.09
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$286.08
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$118.7
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$362.3
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$99.79
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$74.84
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$53.43
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.57
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.9
National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borgesbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$138.74
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+341.6%+$99.06
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$67.44
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Max Basingbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.65
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,182.1%+$177.31
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.94
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.45
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.14
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Poppeck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Muhammad Said · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$83.43
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.72
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ezra Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$85.7
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed RJ Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$49
UFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Anna Melisano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$67.67
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.35
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.31
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.08
Will Baisangur Susurkaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Sedriques Dumas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$38.01
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$37.48
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25.57
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.91
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.33
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$54.28
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.31
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.17
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.58
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.56
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+72.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$235
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$216
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$176.73
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$142.55
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$29.59
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.97
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.65
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+133.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.