CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a54a4fb700e568ebc95465a260bbff9905b60ecda59681a049fe68f9a55a07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof paiN, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,679,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,934,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,679,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 895 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed paiN | 39c | 401,628$155,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,865.22 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Astralis | 58c | 274,325$157,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,444.55 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Astralis | 56c | 116,121$65,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,762.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed paiN | 42c | 72,752$30,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,288.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Astralis | 58c | 61,818$35,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,968.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked paiN | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed paiN | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.93 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 63c | 49,967$31,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,279.64 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Astralis | 48c | 48,622$23,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,369.41 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed paiN | 42c | 45,370$19,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,055.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Astralis | 57c | 32,856$18,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,128.03 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed paiN | 42c | 32,304$13,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,679.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed paiN | 66c | 32,252$21,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,286.07 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Astralis | 56c | 28,500$15,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,540 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed Astralis | 79c | 25,716$20,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 73c | 24,899$18,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,742.1 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 58c | 23,488$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,887.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Astralis | 59c | 22,263$13,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,140.68 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 75c | 21,660$16,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390.02 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed paiN | 43c | 21,293$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,255.25 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked paiN | 46c | 20,155$9,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,217.67 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf177…5f6abacked Astralis | 47c | 18,810$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…a684backed paiN | 55c | 18,264$9,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,958.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed paiN | 46c | 17,951$8,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,257.35 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 54c | 17,583$9,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,041.1 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Astralis | 59c | 16,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Astralis | 59c | 15,555$9,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.55 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Astralis | 69c | 15,191$10,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.06 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed paiN | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Astralis | 57c | 14,295$8,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,086.64 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 57c | 13,690$7,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.87 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed Astralis | 75c | 12,734$9,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Astralis | 58c | 12,413$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.51 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis | 58c | 12,000$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.97 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Astralis | 55c | 11,809$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.16 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed paiN | 43c | 11,760$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis | 57c | 11,600$6,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked paiN | 44c | 11,420$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed paiN | 43c | 11,305$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.36 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked paiN | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked paiN | 50c | 10,539$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.62 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed paiN | 42c | 10,531$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.07 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed paiN | 43c | 10,480$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN | 25c | 10,423$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.53 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed paiN | 47c | 10,000$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed paiN | 47c | 9,980$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.48 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked paiN | 50c | 8,838$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.33 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed paiN | 55c | 8,713$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.64 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked paiN | 42c | 8,333$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Astralis | 54c | 8,185$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.88 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 40c | 8,132$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.61 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.98 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed paiN | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.99 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…152ebacked paiN | 42c | 6,835$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed paiN | 65c | 6,082$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed paiN | 50c | 5,975$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.78 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Astralis | 34c | 5,893$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Astralis | 78c | 5,830$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.16 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed paiN | 33c | 5,822$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 54c | 5,781$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.84 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 68c | 5,717$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.88 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Astralis | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed paiN | 59c | 5,691$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed paiN | 23c | 5,682$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.34 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f6…f28dbacked paiN | 1c | 5,533$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Astralis | 59c | 5,511$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.08 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 58c | 5,475$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.5 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked paiN | 20c | 5,209$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.63 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed paiN | 44c | 5,028$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…0ee6backed paiN | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Astralis | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.98 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked paiN | 41c | 4,965$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Astralis | 51c | 4,941$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed paiN | 67c | 4,823$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.1 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Astralis | 55c | 4,807$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.34 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 62c | 4,730$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.94 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Astralis | 35c | 4,595$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.93 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed paiN | 40c | 4,472$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.75 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN | 43c | 4,425$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.96 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Astralis | 73c | 4,042$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.29 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked Astralis | 34c | 4,009$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.61 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed paiN | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Astralis | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astralis | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked paiN | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked Astralis | 59c | 3,858$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.85 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis | 34c | 3,674$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.03 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed paiN | 21c | 3,660$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.31 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked paiN | 37c | 3,633$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.93 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked paiN | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed paiN | 43c | 3,501$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.42 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 69c | 3,441$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.05 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed Astralis | 58c | 3,347$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Astralis | 57c | 3,310$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.39 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked paiN | 40c | 3,250$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.49 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.