Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Max Basing
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0f1959b025802e168f342d298a7c7e7882b4d25bb9b073e91d70f444b5c608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Max Basing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Max Basing | 13c | 19,532$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.17 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 80c | 17,412$13,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.79 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Max Basing | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 3,648$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.18 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Max Basing | 18c | 1,949$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 1,653$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.07 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Max Basing | 26c | 1,377$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.07 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Max Basing | 2c | 1,211$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Max Basing | 31c | 1,032$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Max Basing | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Max Basing | 9c | 866.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Basing | 25c | 795.48$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 298 | 49.7%148 W · 150 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Max Basing | 32c | 679.04$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Max Basing | 31c | 583.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 80c | 582.61$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 546.14$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 505.88$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Max Basing | 19c | 505.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Max Basing | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Max Basing | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Basing | 7c | 463.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Max Basing | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 365 | 35.1%128 W · 237 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Max Basing | 32c | 251.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Max Basing | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Max Basing | 33c | 244.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Max Basing | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Max Basing | 15c | 228$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Max Basing | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Max Basing | 32c | 196.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…d4bfbacked Max Basing | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 184.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Max Basing | 32c | 178.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Max Basing | 31c | 178.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Max Basing | 31c | 159.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Max Basing | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Max Basing | 33c | 151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 150.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Max Basing | 27c | 150.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Max Basing | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Max Basing | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Max Basing | 32c | 145.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Max Basing | 13c | 135.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Max Basing | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Max Basing | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Max Basing | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Max Basing | 33c | 117.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 117.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Max Basing | 32c | 116.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Max Basing | 33c | 112.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Max Basing | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 86.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Max Basing | 32c | 85.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Max Basing | 18c | 78.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 67c | 76.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Max Basing | 32c | 75.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Basing | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 74.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 73.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 406 | 63.8%259 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…b0f7backed Max Basing | 32c | 63.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Max Basing | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 55.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 51.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Max Basing | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Max Basing | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 38.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 790 | 47.5%375 W · 415 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 74c | 34.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 348 | 60.3%210 W · 138 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 30.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 28.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 80c | 26.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 67c | 24.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 20.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 67c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Max Basingthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs BasingMochizuki won
- Set Handicap: Mochizuki (-1.5) vs Basing (+1.5)Mochizuki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.