TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0f0…d4bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: UFC, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT5139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$33.47
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.81
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bosnia and Herzegovina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+196.1%+$76.16
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.43
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$83.7
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$96.79
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Netherlands leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$67.36
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Set 2 Winner: Liu vs Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Sawangkaewbacked Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Set 1 Winner: Duckworth vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Set 1 Winner: Halys vs Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovicbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Prizmicbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 2 Winner: Mejia vs Zhengbacked Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 2 Winner: Kwon vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Ofnerbacked Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Set 3 Winner: Sonego vs Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Set 1 Winner: Agut vs Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$47.58
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Max Basingbacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 2 Winner: Rublev vs Safiullinbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
ITF Rzeszow: Herman Hoeyeraal vs Alan Waznybacked Herman Hoeyeraal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,138.89
ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Lucio Ratti vs Filip Jeff Planinsekbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.98
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.