Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Liu vs Gauff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18a5bd21eddc4abc3ae59f565e5e8e0552b17f4083c5e24a034eafdcc9e1e2a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liuof Liu, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Gauff | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Liu | 21c | 361.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Liu | 48c | 358.7$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Gauff | 79c | 321.79$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Gauff | 45c | 255.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…d4bfbacked Gauff | 62c | 191.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Gauff | 51c | 183.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Liu | 54c | 175.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Liu | 24c | 77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9a…6fbebacked Gauff | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Liu | 33c | 65.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Liu | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Liu | 38c | 61.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Liu | 27c | 53.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liu | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Gauff | 54c | 38.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Liu vs Gauffthis page
- Claire Liu vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Liu vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Liu vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Liu vs GauffGauff won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Liu (+1.5)Liu won
- Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Claire Liu vs Coco GauffYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.