Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Liu (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x991fdfad350ac3af05a4c45fcb2474324be431624961ed787b0e287e3047af4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liuof Gauff, Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Gauff | 68c | 2,954$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Liu | 32c | 1,439$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.64 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Liu | 29c | 1,360$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.56 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Liu | 45c | 1,100$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Liu | 31c | 1,100$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.99 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gauff | 70c | 1,097$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.11 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Gauff | 50c | 833.58$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Liu | 32c | 657.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Liu | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Liu | 33c | 447.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Gauff | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Gauff | 71c | 408.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.33 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Liu | 50c | 399.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Gauff | 68c | 344$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Gauff | 78c | 341.89$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 209 | 53.6%112 W · 97 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Liu | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Liu | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Liu | 38c | 172.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gauff | 71c | 158.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gauff | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Gauff | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gauff | 61c | 105.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Gauff | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Liu | 34c | 96.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Gauff | 67c | 77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Gauff | 62c | 71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Gauff | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Gauff | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Gauff | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Gauff | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liu | 34c | 60.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Gauff | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Gauff | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Gauff | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Gauff | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Gauff | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Liu (+1.5)this page
- Claire Liu vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Liu vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Liu vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Liu vs GauffGauff won
- Set 2 Winner: Liu vs GauffLiu won
- Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Claire Liu vs Coco GauffYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.