Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5a4fcaceffe7c1a0c197ab4cf5028e013e637b9dcffd256dc342ad20bfffc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 93,375$53,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,188.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 60,678$18,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,068.21 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 30c | 47,860$14,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,624.54 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 71c | 22,974$16,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,311.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 29c | 17,910$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,717.76 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 70c | 15,895$11,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,126.24 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 15,674$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 10,089$7,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,011.53 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 31c | 9,635$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,656.59 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 8,049$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.44 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 6,438$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.58 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 5,948$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.33 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 4,583$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.01 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 70c | 4,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 30c | 3,830$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.67 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 3,474$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 32c | 3,435$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.01 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 29c | 3,357$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.42 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 10c | 3,138$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.87 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 33c | 3,008$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.3 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,917$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.91 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 10c | 2,470$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.82 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,001$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 1,972$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.11 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 75c | 1,871$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.75 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 1,779$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 29c | 1,638$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.2 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 42c | 1,634$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.12 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 1,406$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 21c | 1,245$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 69c | 1,125$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.23 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 65c | 1,082$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.56 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…c2f8backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 29c | 952.66$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.39 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…4782backed Yes | 29c | 948.66$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.55 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 804$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 784$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 751.07$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.1 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 67c | 735.85$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.31 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 44c | 720.4$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 65c | 694.68$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.43 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 30c | 682.58$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 69c | 572.06$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.93 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 565.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 70c | 535.74$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 71c | 512$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 33c | 504$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 61c | 491.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 66c | 478.64$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 9c | 424$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 29c | 403$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.13 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0ae7backed Yes | 29c | 396.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 71c | 392$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.32 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 71c | 384$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.64 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 38c | 374.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 366$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 357$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 357$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 70c | 345.92$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…d9fdbacked No | 16c | 345.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Yes | 30c | 333.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…9c22backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 29c | 333.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…1857backed Yes | 31c | 323.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…6068backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 320$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 69c | 320$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 32c | 315$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 30c | 307.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 71c | 305.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 64c | 294$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 34c | 292.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 5c | 292$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 62c | 289.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 345 | 40.3%139 W · 206 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26d…a951backed Yes | 35c | 283.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.89 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 71c | 281.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 45c | 274.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 265$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed No | 64c | 263$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Yes | 79c | 260.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico leading at halftime?this page
- Ecuador leading at halftime?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.