Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0542e3b2abd6a9c802a02e1fe2c055217652e3945cad875c14bf4fac821d9997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 27,916$13,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,060.25 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 47c | 19,000$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,069.98 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 15,347$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 53c | 12,679$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.89 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 11,980$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 55c | 10,909$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 52c | 7,765$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.47 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 7,334$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.46 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 7,297$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.94 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 47c | 6,310$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.28 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 5,749$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.14 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 52c | 5,729$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 5,137$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.48 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.97 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e6…7d82backed Yes | 54c | 2,860$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 54c | 2,768$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 52c | 2,498$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,454$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.9 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed Yes | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,343$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 5c | 1,335$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 1,312$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 55c | 1,066$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.05 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 46c | 989.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.46 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 54c | 786.52$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.57 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 57c | 766.67$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.95 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 738.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 47c | 736.4$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.16 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 47c | 709.47$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.02 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 49c | 701.79$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.91 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 52c | 684.62$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 56c | 676.56$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.02 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 52c | 675$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 73c | 601.86$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 581.93$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 47c | 512$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 484$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 76c | 466.16$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 54c | 435.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 47c | 408.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 38c | 403.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 54c | 392.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 54c | 385$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Yes | 55c | 383.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 53c | 377.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 49c | 368.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…a053backed Yes | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 50c | 350.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…9dc0backed Yes | 50c | 330.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 41c | 300.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 46c | 294.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 46c | 294$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 274.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 46c | 270.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 53c | 259.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…7825backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 53c | 243.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 53c | 237$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8c6backed Yes | 53c | 234.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Yes | 53c | 212.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 31c | 211.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 14c | 210$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 6c | 206$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 52c | 203.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 46c | 201$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 54c | 199.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50d…0922backed Yes | 36c | 193.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…79a1backed Yes | 57c | 192.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…41dabacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?this page
- Ecuador leading at halftime?No won
- Mexico leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.