TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa72a…7825

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$70.25
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+203%+$60.91
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$54.81
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.06
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44.39
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$110.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$28.24
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.66
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$18.98
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.37
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$98.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.99
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$130
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.57
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$21.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$55.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.