TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,112,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,476,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,112,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 789 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks55c676,203$374,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,553.5747738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals46c569,855$260,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260,259.2141851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Cardinals46c450,348$207,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207,160.238344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Seahawks54c298,429$161,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,277.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Cardinals46c217,324$100,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,692.1114351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Seahawks53c210,423$111,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,025.9222950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Seahawks53c200,000$107,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,999.9810333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Seahawks55c182,507$99,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,906.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Seahawks53c161,268$85,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,795.963259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+45.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0b81…57c7backed Seahawks54c150,723$81,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,933.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Cardinals47c130,000$60,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,499.9511445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Cardinals46c127,950$58,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,85727454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Cardinals46c124,848$57,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,430.2417454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Cardinals47c107,724$50,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,500.955855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Cardinals46c90,656$41,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,456.7412352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Seahawks58c87,700$51,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,495.3210566.7%70 W · 35 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21da…db76backed Cardinals46c86,870$39,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,960.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals41c85,930$35,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,163.7222548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Seahawks54c83,000$44,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,4101435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals46c78,942$36,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,314.1244652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Seahawks52c69,443$36,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,004.363138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Cardinals46c62,947$29,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,085.1824551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals29c61,588$18,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,145.8720634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks54c56,566$30,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,151.8616836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals45c53,759$24,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,444.5312144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Cardinals47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,5007657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed08…381cbacked Seahawks55c44,106$24,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,847.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Seahawks54c40,189$21,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,487.076544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Seahawks54c38,547$20,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,549.892259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+246.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seahawks73c33,456$24,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,091.9219235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e98…1f51backed Cardinals47c30,638$14,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,299.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Seahawks79c24,087$19,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.7819551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Seahawks54c23,833$12,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,963.1810650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks51c23,347$11,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,480.2453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals47c23,000$10,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8104637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Seahawks79c22,778$18,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7559944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cardinals43c21,002$9,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,094.884247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81b1…0f83backed Seahawks54c20,240$10,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,310.291225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Seahawks53c20,000$10,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,333.430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Cardinals46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2006645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Seahawks68c20,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Seahawks54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20011755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Cardinals49c18,942$9,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,204.2117348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f3…97a8backed Seahawks54c17,858$9,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,214.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Cardinals21c17,747$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.852623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82c8…817abacked Cardinals47c17,718$8,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,327.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks76c17,664$13,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,258.4230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Cardinals46c17,294$7,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,997.7141248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cardinals46c16,630$7,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,664.4324652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Cardinals51c16,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,16017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Cardinals47c14,894$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Cardinals49c14,789$7,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,220.8283447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Cardinals42c14,752$6,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,19716344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals48c13,616$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.931848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cardinals38c13,611$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.2161148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fe…a41bbacked Seahawks55c13,358$7,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,012.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks64c12,222$7,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.0364747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe945…a5cbbacked Seahawks54c11,779$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,418.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Cardinals47c11,214$5,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,270.585330.2%16 W · 37 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Cardinals36c11,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960.156965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Seahawks54c10,870$5,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.3725744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbc5…df4cbacked Seahawks54c10,735$5,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Cardinals1c10,649$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.75156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Cardinals48c10,404$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.8527339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…f2a8backed Cardinals45c10,262$4,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.381931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Seahawks54c10,185$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.192828.6%8 W · 20 L-7.0wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-48%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Cardinals46c10,147$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.053633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Seahawks54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Cardinals47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7002556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Seahawks53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Seahawks54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Cardinals29c9,245$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe391…8a57backed Cardinals47c9,149$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Seahawks52c8,543$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.7231240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals46c8,432$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Cardinals48c8,280$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.26759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Seahawks54c8,141$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.848856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe604…d999backed Seahawks50c8,000$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+170.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cardinals8c7,967$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked Cardinals6c7,870$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Cardinals42c7,200$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0215540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals46c7,000$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.6720646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Seahawks62c6,964$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.129356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Seahawks54c6,424$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.0714154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…0aacbacked Seahawks54c6,419$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5b…029cbacked Cardinals19c6,402$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Cardinals38c6,400$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.7211252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Cardinals29c6,300$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79917144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0a…381cbacked Cardinals39c6,100$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Seahawks54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7603043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x171b…3e3dbacked Cardinals47c5,844$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Seahawks54c5,185$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.199152.7%48 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…6d7bbacked Seahawks55c5,154$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.471050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+48.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…374abacked Cardinals11c5,102$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78a…7166backed Seahawks54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…82e0backed Seahawks53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71bd…28c4backed Cardinals47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e37…4a79backed Cardinals47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971e…f9e2backed Seahawks54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.